6.75

2015-16 EuroLeague · Regular season, round 4 · Thu, 5 Nov 2015

Cedevita Zagreb at Armani Olimpia Milan

77–68Final, away–home

Box score

Armani Olimpia Milan

PlayerMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVPF+/-FG3PFT
Alessandro Gentile *3419221112−147-172-53-5
Oliver Lafayette *3014120013−135-133-111-1
Robbie Hummel *242340031−111-70-20-0
Jamel McLean *2261001022−52-70-02-3
Bruno Cerella *90100000−70-20-10-0
Krunoslav Simon2616421021+46-133-71-1
Charles Jenkins213211012+31-41-30-0
Milan Macvan162211011+21-70-20-0
Stanko Barac146430103−23-30-00-0
Gani Lawal40401013−20-10-00-0
Team200683315621218−926-749-317-10

Cedevita Zagreb

PlayerMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVPF+/-FG3PFT
James White *3115731024+207-121-40-0
Marko Arapovic *2911610012−34-61-22-2
Luka Babic *2813551013+55-111-62-2
Miro Bilan *2716612004+128-120-00-2
Nemanja Gordic *18412101102-70-30-0
Jacob Pullen246140030+92-70-32-2
Karlo Zganec235410002+72-40-01-2
Fran Pilepic167211121−43-31-10-0
Lovro Mazalin20000001−30-00-00-0
Dzanan Musa10000000+20-00-00-0
Team200773218611018+933-624-197-10

* Starter. The team's +/- is its final margin. Scores read away–home.

Win probability

The home team's chance of winning at each point of the game, from the pre-game forecast at tip-off to the result at the final buzzer. Hover or tap the line to read a point.

100%50%0%Q1Q2Q3Q4

Home at the top. Vertical rules mark the quarters and any overtime. Model: WP v1, the in-game win-probability model, with its card and results on GitHub.

Biggest swings

  1. Q4 05:30Three-point make, Armani Olimpia Milan+18.6 pp for Armani Olimpia Milan61–61
  2. Q4 03:13Three-point make, Cedevita Zagreb+15.2 pp for Cedevita Zagreb70–63
  3. Q4 09:19Three-point make, Armani Olimpia Milan+13.9 pp for Armani Olimpia Milan51–53
  4. Q4 04:58Two-point make, Cedevita Zagreb+13.1 pp for Cedevita Zagreb63–61
  5. Q4 04:32Two-point make, Cedevita Zagreb+13.1 pp for Cedevita Zagreb65–61

Change in win chance at the scoring play, read at the same clock. Scores read away–home after the play. pp is percentage points.

Game control

PartArmani Olimpia MilanCedevita Zagreb
Dominance+0.01−0.01
Control33%13%
Drama2.182.18
Comeback100%76%
Crunch0.740.74

Dominance: the average lead in win chance, from −1 to +1. Control: the share of the game with a win chance above 60%. Drama: the total movement of the line. Comeback: 100% minus the lowest win chance. Crunch: the total movement in the last five minutes of regulation. The 60% and five-minute values are display conventions.

Scoring runs

A scoring run is a stretch of points by one team that the other team does not interrupt. The top three runs of each team, by points, are below.

Armani Olimpia Milan

  1. +8 Q3 07:51 to Q3 05:42 39–33 to 39–41
  2. +7 Q2 08:52 to Q2 07:28 25–14 to 25–21
  3. +5 Q2 05:07 to Q2 04:32 30–21 to 30–26

Cedevita Zagreb

  1. +8 Q4 07:22 to Q4 05:49 53–58 to 61–58
  2. +8 Q4 03:13 to Q4 01:49 67–63 to 75–63
  3. +7 Q1 04:20 to Q1 02:49 8–7 to 15–7