6.75

2015-16 EuroLeague · Regular season, round 4 · Thu, 5 Nov 2015

FC Bayern Munich at Real Madrid

99–101Final, away–home

Box score

Real Madrid

PlayerMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVPF+/-FG3PFT
Rudy Fernandez *3320620104+16-95-63-5
Gustavo Ayon *318861242+44-70-00-2
Sergio Llull *2818261020+47-142-42-4
Felipe Reyes *27201121133+176-91-27-7
Jonas Maciulis *198111002+53-61-31-2
Sergio Rodriguez164170010−91-40-32-2
Jaycee Carroll1314120001+44-84-72-2
Andres Nocioni103110011−101-21-20-0
Jeffery Taylor104000000+41-30-12-2
Trey Thompkins72210002−51-40-10-0
Willy Hernangomez40200001−50-00-00-0
Team2001013528441116+234-6614-2919-26

FC Bayern Munich

PlayerMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVPF+/-FG3PFT
Nihad Djedovic *3122130022−67-124-74-4
Deon Thompson *286512204−93-100-00-0
Alex Renfroe *2621130044−78-103-42-2
Bryce Taylor *224610002−31-51-41-2
Dusko Savanovic *179220004−84-81-40-0
K.C. Rivers2515331004+75-103-42-3
John Bryant1914201212+36-70-02-2
Anton Gavel174242001+31-21-11-2
Paul Zipser154430102+102-50-30-0
Team20099262065725−237-6913-2712-15

* Starter. The team's +/- is its final margin. Scores read away–home.

Win probability

The home team's chance of winning at each point of the game, from the pre-game forecast at tip-off to the result at the final buzzer. Hover or tap the line to read a point.

100%50%0%Q1Q2Q3Q4

Home at the top. Vertical rules mark the quarters and any overtime. Model: WP v1, the in-game win-probability model, with its card and results on GitHub.

Biggest swings

  1. Q4 00:20Three-point make, FC Bayern Munich+28.1 pp for FC Bayern Munich99–98
  2. Q4 00:03Three-point make, Real Madrid+28.1 pp for Real Madrid99–101
  3. Q4 02:14Three-point make, Real Madrid+26.6 pp for Real Madrid96–92
  4. Q4 02:47Three-point make, FC Bayern Munich+22.6 pp for FC Bayern Munich96–88
  5. Q4 03:01Three-point make, Real Madrid+21.3 pp for Real Madrid93–88

Change in win chance at the scoring play, read at the same clock. Scores read away–home after the play. pp is percentage points.

Game control

PartReal MadridFC Bayern Munich
Dominance+0.49−0.49
Control73%10%
Drama2.202.20
Comeback79%94%
Crunch2.532.53

Dominance: the average lead in win chance, from −1 to +1. Control: the share of the game with a win chance above 60%. Drama: the total movement of the line. Comeback: 100% minus the lowest win chance. Crunch: the total movement in the last five minutes of regulation. The 60% and five-minute values are display conventions.

Scoring runs

A scoring run is a stretch of points by one team that the other team does not interrupt. The top three runs of each team, by points, are below.

Real Madrid

  1. +10 Q4 02:33 to Q4 00:33 96–88 to 96–98
  2. +8 Q1 03:39 to Q1 02:49 11–17 to 11–25
  3. +6 Q1 08:54 to Q1 07:16 2–2 to 2–8

FC Bayern Munich

  1. +10 Q3 03:38 to Q3 01:43 68–67 to 78–67
  2. +8 Q1 01:00 to Q2 08:06 18–33 to 26–33
  3. +7 Q2 00:36 to Q3 08:52 46–51 to 53–51