6.75

2015-16 EuroLeague · Playoffs · Mon, 18 Apr 2016

CSKA Moscow at Crvena Zvezda Meridianbet Belgrade

78–71Final, away–home

Box score

Crvena Zvezda Meridianbet Belgrade

PlayerMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVPF+/-FG3PFT
Quincy Miller *3215502224−16-130-43-4
Nemanja Dangubic *2811431024+64-72-31-4
Stefan Jovic *26666002403-80-10-0
Maik Zirbes *257412100−33-50-01-2
Tarence Kinsey *219231013−113-91-42-2
Marko Simonovic217001002−83-91-40-0
Vladimir Stimac1512202012−42-50-08-10
Vasilije Micic142230002−70-50-12-2
Branko Lazic122001012−110-10-02-2
Marko Guduric30001010+10-10-10-0
Luka Mitrovic30010000+30-00-00-0
Team2007125171131023−724-634-1819-26

CSKA Moscow

PlayerMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVPF+/-FG3PFT
Kyle Hines *297420024+92-20-03-4
Nando De Colo *2820321053+48-141-53-4
Andrey Vorontsevich *198312015−83-72-50-0
Aaron Jackson *166140020+52-42-30-0
Vitaly Fridzon *82210002−30-20-12-2
Milos Teodosic2912070073+83-52-44-4
Cory Higgins268921124+83-62-20-0
Nikita Kurbanov2612600004+124-62-42-2
Demetris Nichols17330012301-50-41-2
Ivan Lazarev1000000000-00-00-0
Dmitry Kulagin0000000000-00-00-0
Team200783119422128+726-5111-2815-18

* Starter. The team's +/- is its final margin. Scores read away–home.

Win probability

The home team's chance of winning at each point of the game, from the pre-game forecast at tip-off to the result at the final buzzer. Hover or tap the line to read a point.

100%50%0%Q1Q2Q3Q4

Home at the top. Vertical rules mark the quarters and any overtime. Model: WP v1, the in-game win-probability model, with its card and results on GitHub.

Biggest swings

  1. Q4 03:07Three-point make, CSKA Moscow+12.4 pp for CSKA Moscow70–66
  2. Q4 03:44Three-point make, Crvena Zvezda Meridianbet Belgrade+11.2 pp for Crvena Zvezda Meridianbet Belgrade67–66
  3. Q4 02:26Three-point make, CSKA Moscow+10.7 pp for CSKA Moscow73–68
  4. Q3 06:28Three-point make, CSKA Moscow+9.6 pp for CSKA Moscow41–40
  5. Q1 02:58Three-point make, CSKA Moscow+8.0 pp for CSKA Moscow10–10

Change in win chance at the scoring play, read at the same clock. Scores read away–home after the play. pp is percentage points.

Game control

PartCrvena Zvezda Meridianbet BelgradeCSKA Moscow
Dominance−0.55+0.55
Control0%98%
Drama1.311.31
Comeback100%42%
Crunch0.680.68

Dominance: the average lead in win chance, from −1 to +1. Control: the share of the game with a win chance above 60%. Drama: the total movement of the line. Comeback: 100% minus the lowest win chance. Crunch: the total movement in the last five minutes of regulation. The 60% and five-minute values are display conventions.

Scoring runs

A scoring run is a stretch of points by one team that the other team does not interrupt. The top three runs of each team, by points, are below.

Crvena Zvezda Meridianbet Belgrade

  1. +8 Q4 04:51 to Q4 03:52 65–55 to 65–63
  2. +6 Q1 02:43 to Q1 02:03 10–10 to 10–16
  3. +4 Q1 06:12 to Q1 05:23 2–2 to 2–6

CSKA Moscow

  1. +8 Q3 04:34 to Q3 02:38 46–44 to 54–44
  2. +6 Q4 02:26 to Q4 01:51 70–68 to 76–68
  3. +5 Q2 03:47 to Q2 03:41 25–28 to 30–28