6.75

2015-16 EuroLeague · Playoffs · Thu, 14 Apr 2016

Crvena Zvezda Meridianbet Belgrade at CSKA Moscow

76–77Final, away–home

Box score

CSKA Moscow

PlayerMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVPF+/-FG3PFT
Andrey Vorontsevich *306400103−22-82-70-2
Nando De Colo *2213433032−82-60-19-10
Aaron Jackson *185430034+42-51-20-0
Vitaly Fridzon *42000002+10-20-12-2
Ivan Lazarev *42100101−51-10-00-0
Kyle Hines3519421002+98-90-03-3
Cory Higgins3213322023+83-61-36-6
Nikita Kurbanov263301214−31-61-30-0
Milos Teodosic189310052+13-63-50-0
Demetris Nichols11511011102-51-30-0
Team200772712751524+124-549-2520-23

Crvena Zvezda Meridianbet Belgrade

PlayerMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVPF+/-FG3PFT
Quincy Miller *3511531202−44-100-23-3
Tarence Kinsey *3014523144−46-110-32-4
Stefan Jovic *3015370063+55-103-42-2
Maik Zirbes *269501003+104-100-01-1
Nemanja Dangubic *111250023+90-20-01-2
Marko Simonovic2214302002+24-93-73-4
Branko Lazic167000005−103-31-10-0
Vladimir Stimac143500002−111-30-01-1
Vasilije Micic120111012−50-50-30-0
Luka Mitrovic42000001+31-10-00-0
Team200762918831327−128-647-2013-17

* Starter. The team's +/- is its final margin. Scores read away–home.

Win probability

The home team's chance of winning at each point of the game, from the pre-game forecast at tip-off to the result at the final buzzer. Hover or tap the line to read a point.

100%50%0%Q1Q2Q3Q4

Home at the top. Vertical rules mark the quarters and any overtime. Model: WP v1, the in-game win-probability model, with its card and results on GitHub.

Biggest swings

  1. Q4 01:03Three-point make, CSKA Moscow+22.9 pp for CSKA Moscow75–77
  2. Q4 01:13Three-point make, Crvena Zvezda Meridianbet Belgrade+21.6 pp for Crvena Zvezda Meridianbet Belgrade75–74
  3. Q3 03:42Three-point make, CSKA Moscow+8.1 pp for CSKA Moscow55–56
  4. Q2 03:16Three-point make, Crvena Zvezda Meridianbet Belgrade+6.4 pp for Crvena Zvezda Meridianbet Belgrade41–36
  5. Q3 06:16Three-point make, CSKA Moscow+6.1 pp for CSKA Moscow52–49

Change in win chance at the scoring play, read at the same clock. Scores read away–home after the play. pp is percentage points.

Game control

PartCSKA MoscowCrvena Zvezda Meridianbet Belgrade
Dominance+0.72−0.72
Control100%0%
Drama0.950.95
Comeback28%98%
Crunch0.850.85

Dominance: the average lead in win chance, from −1 to +1. Control: the share of the game with a win chance above 60%. Drama: the total movement of the line. Comeback: 100% minus the lowest win chance. Crunch: the total movement in the last five minutes of regulation. The 60% and five-minute values are display conventions.

Scoring runs

A scoring run is a stretch of points by one team that the other team does not interrupt. The top three runs of each team, by points, are below.

CSKA Moscow

  1. +7 Q3 06:16 to Q3 04:53 52–46 to 52–53
  2. +6 Q1 04:55 to Q1 03:18 13–6 to 13–12
  3. +5 Q3 03:42 to Q3 02:50 55–53 to 55–58

Crvena Zvezda Meridianbet Belgrade

  1. +7 Q1 08:46 to Q1 06:04 4–4 to 11–4
  2. +6 Q2 06:04 to Q2 05:46 27–28 to 33–28
  3. +5 Q2 03:16 to Q2 02:57 38–36 to 43–36