6.75

2015-16 EuroLeague · Playoffs · Tue, 12 Apr 2016

Crvena Zvezda Meridianbet Belgrade at CSKA Moscow

74–84Final, away–home

Box score

CSKA Moscow

PlayerMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVPF+/-FG3PFT
Andrey Vorontsevich *335722201+111-40-33-4
Nando De Colo *2872100034+122-60-13-3
Nikita Kurbanov *2213602002+66-81-30-0
Aaron Jackson *93110011−71-20-11-2
Ivan Lazarev *81000024−100-10-01-2
Milos Teodosic3523660063+248-104-53-3
Kyle Hines2721301122+229-120-03-5
Vitaly Fridzon165202123+22-51-40-0
Cory Higgins153121002−71-30-11-2
Demetris Nichols73001000−11-21-20-0
Dmitry Kulagin00000000−20-00-00-0
Team200842821941622+1031-537-2015-21

Crvena Zvezda Meridianbet Belgrade

PlayerMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVPF+/-FG3PFT
Quincy Miller *3314422143−66-102-40-0
Tarence Kinsey *3011011013−135-140-31-1
Stefan Jovic *2814141023−105-94-70-1
Maik Zirbes *256601243−131-50-04-6
Nemanja Dangubic *176420013−112-42-40-0
Branko Lazic247301014+13-51-30-0
Vladimir Stimac157500021+33-70-01-2
Marko Simonovic144200001+12-30-00-0
Vasilije Micic145120033−22-71-30-1
Borisa Simanic0000000000-00-00-0
Team200742611631824−1029-6410-246-11

* Starter. The team's +/- is its final margin. Scores read away–home.

Win probability

The home team's chance of winning at each point of the game, from the pre-game forecast at tip-off to the result at the final buzzer. Hover or tap the line to read a point.

100%50%0%Q1Q2Q3Q4

Home at the top. Vertical rules mark the quarters and any overtime. Model: WP v1, the in-game win-probability model, with its card and results on GitHub.

Biggest swings

  1. Q1 09:01Three-point make, Crvena Zvezda Meridianbet Belgrade+5.1 pp for Crvena Zvezda Meridianbet Belgrade3–2
  2. Q1 07:14Three-point make, Crvena Zvezda Meridianbet Belgrade+3.9 pp for Crvena Zvezda Meridianbet Belgrade9–2
  3. Q1 06:54Three-point make, CSKA Moscow+3.9 pp for CSKA Moscow9–5
  4. Q1 06:08Two-point make, CSKA Moscow+3.4 pp for CSKA Moscow9–10
  5. Q2 04:50Three-point make, CSKA Moscow+3.0 pp for CSKA Moscow29–35

Change in win chance at the scoring play, read at the same clock. Scores read away–home after the play. pp is percentage points.

Game control

PartCSKA MoscowCrvena Zvezda Meridianbet Belgrade
Dominance+0.86−0.86
Control100%0%
Drama0.630.63
Comeback23%100%
Crunch0.040.04

Dominance: the average lead in win chance, from −1 to +1. Control: the share of the game with a win chance above 60%. Drama: the total movement of the line. Comeback: 100% minus the lowest win chance. Crunch: the total movement in the last five minutes of regulation. The 60% and five-minute values are display conventions.

Scoring runs

A scoring run is a stretch of points by one team that the other team does not interrupt. The top three runs of each team, by points, are below.

CSKA Moscow

  1. +10 Q1 06:54 to Q1 04:38 9–2 to 9–12
  2. +5 Q1 04:06 to Q1 03:37 12–12 to 12–17
  3. +5 Q3 08:10 to Q3 07:01 42–46 to 42–51

Crvena Zvezda Meridianbet Belgrade

  1. +9 Q1 09:01 to Q1 07:14 0–2 to 9–2
  2. +6 Q3 01:53 to Q3 00:55 50–61 to 56–61
  3. +5 Q3 03:51 to Q3 03:12 45–56 to 50–56