6.75

2015-16 EuroLeague · Top 16 · Fri, 25 Mar 2016

Real Madrid at Olympiacos Piraeus

84–99Final, away–home

Box score

Olympiacos Piraeus

PlayerMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVPF+/-FG3PFT
Vangelis Mantzaris *2919500013+126-86-61-2
Vassilis Spanoulis *2718160024+202-102-612-16
Georgios Printezis *2617810020+157-130-13-6
Kostas Papanikolaou *248920132+123-60-32-4
Nikola Milutinov *84200003+72-30-00-0
D.J. Strawberry175321002+62-31-20-0
Hakim Warrick168510012+124-50-00-0
Othello Hunter155312014−72-60-01-2
Ioannis Papapetrou157000001−12-41-12-2
Daniel Hackett125332002+11-40-23-3
Darius Johnson-Odom113010011−21-41-20-0
Team200993917511124+1532-6611-2324-35

Real Madrid

PlayerMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVPF+/-FG3PFT
Gustavo Ayon *3471023203−143-70-01-4
Sergio Llull *3417130022−105-113-64-7
Jonas Maciulis *166221003−122-62-40-0
Jaycee Carroll *1511000003−43-71-44-4
Felipe Reyes *156700002−202-50-12-2
Sergio Rodriguez2611041013−13-101-54-4
K.C. Rivers2317243002−87-103-60-0
Andres Nocioni209100033+33-62-41-2
Rudy Fernandez100100012−20-10-10-0
Augusto Cesar Lima60400013−20-00-00-0
Jeffery Taylor10000010−50-00-00-0
Team20084281582926−1528-6312-3116-23

* Starter. The team's +/- is its final margin. Scores read away–home.

Win probability

The home team's chance of winning at each point of the game, from the pre-game forecast at tip-off to the result at the final buzzer. Hover or tap the line to read a point.

100%50%0%Q1Q2Q3Q4

Home at the top. Vertical rules mark the quarters and any overtime. Model: WP v1, the in-game win-probability model, with its card and results on GitHub.

Biggest swings

  1. Q2 02:19Three-point make, Real Madrid+6.4 pp for Real Madrid31–40
  2. Q1 02:22Three-point make, Real Madrid+6.3 pp for Real Madrid13–18
  3. Q1 05:33Three-point make, Olympiacos Piraeus+6.2 pp for Olympiacos Piraeus4–14
  4. Q1 05:10Three-point make, Real Madrid+6.2 pp for Real Madrid7–14
  5. Q1 00:54Three-point make, Olympiacos Piraeus+6.2 pp for Olympiacos Piraeus17–22

Change in win chance at the scoring play, read at the same clock. Scores read away–home after the play. pp is percentage points.

Game control

PartOlympiacos PiraeusReal Madrid
Dominance+0.73−0.73
Control100%0%
Drama1.051.05
Comeback39%100%
Crunch0.010.01

Dominance: the average lead in win chance, from −1 to +1. Control: the share of the game with a win chance above 60%. Drama: the total movement of the line. Comeback: 100% minus the lowest win chance. Crunch: the total movement in the last five minutes of regulation. The 60% and five-minute values are display conventions.

Scoring runs

A scoring run is a stretch of points by one team that the other team does not interrupt. The top three runs of each team, by points, are below.

Olympiacos Piraeus

  1. +10 Q2 02:06 to Q2 00:28 31–40 to 31–50
  2. +9 Q2 08:03 to Q2 06:07 19–25 to 19–34
  3. +7 Q3 06:39 to Q3 05:28 41–57 to 41–64

Real Madrid

  1. +8 Q3 02:04 to Q3 00:18 46–70 to 54–70
  2. +5 Q2 03:24 to Q2 03:08 23–38 to 28–38
  3. +4 Q1 01:30 to Q1 01:07 13–19 to 17–19