6.75

2015-16 EuroLeague · Top 16 · Fri, 11 Mar 2016

Real Madrid at Zalgiris Kaunas

90–75Final, away–home

Box score

Zalgiris Kaunas

PlayerMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVPF+/-FG3PFT
Jerome Randle *298161002−104-150-30-0
Paulius Jankunas *2621840012−38-100-15-6
Edgaras Ulanovas *225510112−12-41-20-0
Renaldas Seibutis *192201032−81-30-10-0
Martynas Sajus *114500201−22-30-00-0
Olivier Hanlan217120013−72-80-33-6
Siim-Sander Vene188210004−164-60-10-0
Martynas Pocius182210011−141-30-20-0
Ian Vougioukas1613500024−25-80-03-3
Kaspars Vecvagars115110013−52-41-20-0
Brock Motum80111001−70-20-20-0
Team200753317331025−1531-662-1711-15

Real Madrid

PlayerMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVPF+/-FG3PFT
Sergio Llull *316140003+241-61-43-4
Gustavo Ayon *279502301+93-100-03-5
Jonas Maciulis *229420000+14-91-40-1
Felipe Reyes *2110830013+114-70-12-2
Jaycee Carroll *164220021+12-60-30-0
K.C. Rivers2314121001+96-92-40-0
Andres Nocioni2222700212+96-116-64-7
Sergio Rodriguez219280112+102-52-53-4
Augusto Cesar Lima117300004+13-30-01-2
Jeffery Taylor9010000400-10-10-0
Team20090342136521+1531-6712-2816-25

* Starter. The team's +/- is its final margin. Scores read away–home.

Win probability

The home team's chance of winning at each point of the game, from the pre-game forecast at tip-off to the result at the final buzzer. Hover or tap the line to read a point.

100%50%0%Q1Q2Q3Q4

Home at the top. Vertical rules mark the quarters and any overtime. Model: WP v1, the in-game win-probability model, with its card and results on GitHub.

Biggest swings

  1. Q3 01:56Three-point make, Real Madrid+10.1 pp for Real Madrid59–53
  2. Q2 05:59Three-point make, Real Madrid+8.4 pp for Real Madrid24–29
  3. Q2 00:02Three-point make, Real Madrid+8.0 pp for Real Madrid39–41
  4. Q3 02:57Two-point make, Real Madrid+7.8 pp for Real Madrid55–51
  5. Q2 07:23Two-point make, Zalgiris Kaunas+7.8 pp for Zalgiris Kaunas19–26

Change in win chance at the scoring play, read at the same clock. Scores read away–home after the play. pp is percentage points.

Game control

PartZalgiris KaunasReal Madrid
Dominance−0.38+0.38
Control0%48%
Drama1.461.46
Comeback100%54%
Crunch0.020.02

Dominance: the average lead in win chance, from −1 to +1. Control: the share of the game with a win chance above 60%. Drama: the total movement of the line. Comeback: 100% minus the lowest win chance. Crunch: the total movement in the last five minutes of regulation. The 60% and five-minute values are display conventions.

Scoring runs

A scoring run is a stretch of points by one team that the other team does not interrupt. The top three runs of each team, by points, are below.

Zalgiris Kaunas

  1. +5 Q1 09:40 to Q1 09:14 0–0 to 0–5
  2. +5 Q4 09:51 to Q4 09:24 62–53 to 62–58
  3. +4 Q1 03:00 to Q1 00:53 13–13 to 13–17

Real Madrid

  1. +7 Q3 02:29 to Q3 00:33 55–53 to 62–53
  2. +6 Q3 04:13 to Q3 02:57 49–51 to 55–51
  3. +5 Q2 00:40 to Q2 00:02 34–41 to 39–41