6.75

2015-16 EuroLeague · Top 16 · Fri, 11 Mar 2016

Panathinaikos AKTOR Athens at Crvena Zvezda Meridianbet Belgrade

67–69Final, away–home

Box score

Crvena Zvezda Meridianbet Belgrade

PlayerMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVPF+/-FG3PFT
Quincy Miller *3216522322+94-71-37-7
Maik Zirbes *296502045+171-30-04-6
Tarence Kinsey *2919403021+55-91-28-8
Stefan Jovic *234561035+182-40-00-0
Nemanja Dangubic *209010021+122-41-34-4
Vasilije Micic186111031−132-40-12-4
Branko Lazic142000021−20-10-12-2
Marko Guduric132320031−101-50-40-2
Marko Simonovic112200012−111-20-10-0
Vladimir Stimac113301002−151-20-01-2
Team2006928121032221+219-413-1528-35

Panathinaikos AKTOR Athens

PlayerMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVPF+/-FG3PFT
Elliot Williams *2717303035−54-91-48-9
James Gist *269210034−114-81-40-3
Nick Calathes *245223012+12-100-41-2
Sasha Pavlovic *197320114+133-41-10-0
Ognjen Kuzmic *145201012−32-40-01-1
Dimitris Diamantidis210231033−10-20-20-0
James Feldeine18421100202-40-20-0
Miroslav Raduljica151172301404-90-03-3
Marquez Haynes125110020+42-31-20-0
Vince Hunter114200003−12-40-00-0
Antonis Fotsis90110000−10-30-30-0
Vladimir Jankovic50000020−60-00-00-0
Team2006727131211729−225-604-2213-18

* Starter. The team's +/- is its final margin. Scores read away–home.

Win probability

The home team's chance of winning at each point of the game, from the pre-game forecast at tip-off to the result at the final buzzer. Hover or tap the line to read a point.

100%50%0%Q1Q2Q3Q4

Home at the top. Vertical rules mark the quarters and any overtime. Model: WP v1, the in-game win-probability model, with its card and results on GitHub.

Biggest swings

  1. Q4 00:31Three-point make, Panathinaikos AKTOR Athens+26.9 pp for Panathinaikos AKTOR Athens63–64
  2. Q4 00:02Three-point make, Panathinaikos AKTOR Athens+19.0 pp for Panathinaikos AKTOR Athens67–69
  3. Q4 00:10Two-point make, Crvena Zvezda Meridianbet Belgrade+15.9 pp for Crvena Zvezda Meridianbet Belgrade64–68
  4. Q4 03:49Two-point make, Panathinaikos AKTOR Athens+12.4 pp for Panathinaikos AKTOR Athens57–59
  5. Q4 04:47Two-point make, Crvena Zvezda Meridianbet Belgrade+11.6 pp for Crvena Zvezda Meridianbet Belgrade55–57

Change in win chance at the scoring play, read at the same clock. Scores read away–home after the play. pp is percentage points.

Game control

PartCrvena Zvezda Meridianbet BelgradePanathinaikos AKTOR Athens
Dominance+0.21−0.21
Control45%18%
Drama2.492.49
Comeback64%99%
Crunch1.571.57

Dominance: the average lead in win chance, from −1 to +1. Control: the share of the game with a win chance above 60%. Drama: the total movement of the line. Comeback: 100% minus the lowest win chance. Crunch: the total movement in the last five minutes of regulation. The 60% and five-minute values are display conventions.

Scoring runs

A scoring run is a stretch of points by one team that the other team does not interrupt. The top three runs of each team, by points, are below.

Crvena Zvezda Meridianbet Belgrade

  1. +7 Q3 06:32 to Q3 05:11 35–36 to 35–43
  2. +6 Q2 00:51 to Q3 09:33 31–24 to 31–30
  3. +6 Q3 08:12 to Q3 07:12 32–30 to 32–36

Panathinaikos AKTOR Athens

  1. +13 Q4 09:30 to Q4 05:57 42–55 to 55–55
  2. +10 Q1 05:28 to Q1 03:25 2–6 to 12–6
  3. +6 Q4 00:42 to Q4 00:31 57–64 to 63–64