6.75

2015-16 EuroLeague · Top 16 · Thu, 11 Feb 2016

Cedevita Zagreb at Crvena Zvezda Meridianbet Belgrade

74–94Final, away–home

Box score

Crvena Zvezda Meridianbet Belgrade

PlayerMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVPF+/-FG3PFT
Quincy Miller *3122413100+208-152-64-4
Tarence Kinsey *194220000+111-60-42-2
Nemanja Dangubic *189300113+144-51-10-0
Maik Zirbes *1610400214+105-50-00-0
Stefan Jovic *40020001+110-10-00-0
Vasilije Micic3014490023+154-73-63-4
Vladimir Stimac2461321022+103-60-00-0
Branko Lazic225010004+62-31-10-0
Marko Guduric2113220011+93-63-54-4
Marko Simonovic77000001−42-32-31-1
Nikola Rebic62200011−61-40-30-0
Marko Tejic22000000+41-10-00-0
Team20094341944820+2034-6212-2914-15

Cedevita Zagreb

PlayerMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVPF+/-FG3PFT
Miro Bilan *3617451012−167-120-03-4
Henry Walker *348702111−213-102-40-0
James White *3418700003−186-81-15-7
Fran Pilepic *259520013−244-101-40-0
Nemanja Gordic *191320023−120-50-11-2
Jacob Pullen3120131001−36-161-77-7
Karlo Zganec101201025−30-10-01-2
Dzanan Musa100010001−30-20-10-0
Team20074291351719−2026-645-1817-22

* Starter. The team's +/- is its final margin. Scores read away–home.

Win probability

The home team's chance of winning at each point of the game, from the pre-game forecast at tip-off to the result at the final buzzer. Hover or tap the line to read a point.

100%50%0%Q1Q2Q3Q4

Home at the top. Vertical rules mark the quarters and any overtime. Model: WP v1, the in-game win-probability model, with its card and results on GitHub.

Biggest swings

  1. Q1 06:39Three-point make, Crvena Zvezda Meridianbet Belgrade+5.2 pp for Crvena Zvezda Meridianbet Belgrade2–11
  2. Q3 02:19Three-point make, Crvena Zvezda Meridianbet Belgrade+5.1 pp for Crvena Zvezda Meridianbet Belgrade48–57
  3. Q4 09:03Three-point make, Crvena Zvezda Meridianbet Belgrade+4.8 pp for Crvena Zvezda Meridianbet Belgrade56–65
  4. Q2 00:33Three-point make, Cedevita Zagreb+3.7 pp for Cedevita Zagreb32–41
  5. Q2 04:38Three-point make, Crvena Zvezda Meridianbet Belgrade+3.5 pp for Crvena Zvezda Meridianbet Belgrade22–35

Change in win chance at the scoring play, read at the same clock. Scores read away–home after the play. pp is percentage points.

Game control

PartCrvena Zvezda Meridianbet BelgradeCedevita Zagreb
Dominance+0.86−0.86
Control100%0%
Drama0.740.74
Comeback25%100%
Crunch0.000.00

Dominance: the average lead in win chance, from −1 to +1. Control: the share of the game with a win chance above 60%. Drama: the total movement of the line. Comeback: 100% minus the lowest win chance. Crunch: the total movement in the last five minutes of regulation. The 60% and five-minute values are display conventions.

Scoring runs

A scoring run is a stretch of points by one team that the other team does not interrupt. The top three runs of each team, by points, are below.

Crvena Zvezda Meridianbet Belgrade

  1. +12 Q1 08:07 to Q1 05:27 2–3 to 2–15
  2. +7 Q2 01:00 to Q3 09:07 32–41 to 32–48
  3. +6 Q3 02:19 to Q3 01:39 48–54 to 48–60

Cedevita Zagreb

  1. +8 Q3 08:14 to Q3 06:35 34–50 to 42–50
  2. +7 Q3 00:56 to Q3 00:02 49–62 to 56–62
  3. +6 Q2 09:03 to Q2 07:41 12–28 to 18–28