6.75

2015-16 EuroLeague · Regular season, round 2 · Thu, 22 Oct 2015

Limoges CSP at Cedevita Zagreb

84–80Final, away–home

Box score

Cedevita Zagreb

PlayerMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVPF+/-FG3PFT
James White *3617520111−57-111-32-2
Luka Babic *319322014+24-101-50-0
Miro Bilan *3119930075+86-90-07-10
Nemanja Gordic *212041023−151-30-20-0
Marko Arapovic *102100021−121-50-20-0
Jacob Pullen2821543023+78-152-73-5
Karlo Zganec164600002−61-10-02-2
Tomislav Zubcic143510024+11-71-60-0
Fran Pilepic13300000001-31-30-0
Team200803416611723−430-646-2814-19

Limoges CSP

PlayerMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVPF+/-FG3PFT
Heiko Schaffartzik *3212370012−34-94-70-0
Nobel Boungou-Colo *311575100205-121-54-4
Leo Westermann *3115230133+44-94-83-4
Will Daniels *2814431034+65-82-42-3
Ali Traore *1910400005+84-70-02-4
Mark Payne233431001+61-30-21-2
Frejus Zerbo187302063−53-40-01-2
Randy Culpepper188100011+43-51-11-2
Team200842821511421+429-5712-2714-21

* Starter. The team's +/- is its final margin. Scores read away–home.

Win probability

The home team's chance of winning at each point of the game, from the pre-game forecast at tip-off to the result at the final buzzer. Hover or tap the line to read a point.

100%50%0%Q1Q2Q3Q4

Home at the top. Vertical rules mark the quarters and any overtime. Model: WP v1, the in-game win-probability model, with its card and results on GitHub.

Biggest swings

  1. Q4 00:39Two-point make, Limoges CSP+28.0 pp for Limoges CSP79–78
  2. Q4 00:21Two-point make, Cedevita Zagreb+27.6 pp for Cedevita Zagreb81–80
  3. Q4 02:16Three-point make, Limoges CSP+26.0 pp for Limoges CSP77–72
  4. Q4 02:59Three-point make, Limoges CSP+24.3 pp for Limoges CSP74–70
  5. Q4 03:25Three-point make, Cedevita Zagreb+22.3 pp for Cedevita Zagreb71–70

Change in win chance at the scoring play, read at the same clock. Scores read away–home after the play. pp is percentage points.

Game control

PartCedevita ZagrebLimoges CSP
Dominance−0.11+0.11
Control8%35%
Drama3.353.35
Comeback89%73%
Crunch2.982.98

Dominance: the average lead in win chance, from −1 to +1. Control: the share of the game with a win chance above 60%. Drama: the total movement of the line. Comeback: 100% minus the lowest win chance. Crunch: the total movement in the last five minutes of regulation. The 60% and five-minute values are display conventions.

Scoring runs

A scoring run is a stretch of points by one team that the other team does not interrupt. The top three runs of each team, by points, are below.

Cedevita Zagreb

  1. +10 Q3 09:28 to Q3 08:05 44–32 to 44–42
  2. +6 Q4 04:11 to Q4 03:25 71–64 to 71–70
  3. +6 Q4 02:04 to Q4 02:00 77–72 to 77–78

Limoges CSP

  1. +11 Q1 05:05 to Q1 01:46 14–15 to 25–15
  2. +7 Q3 01:53 to Q3 00:39 52–51 to 59–51
  3. +6 Q2 03:34 to Q2 01:53 35–30 to 41–30