6.75

2015-16 EuroLeague · Top 16 · Fri, 5 Feb 2016

Kosner Baskonia Vitoria-Gasteiz at Real Madrid

77–68Final, away–home

Box score

Real Madrid

PlayerMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVPF+/-FG3PFT
Sergio Llull *337243022−81-81-54-4
Sergio Rodriguez *2718241023−86-123-63-4
K.C. Rivers *202602001−111-60-30-0
Gustavo Ayon *177320113−73-70-01-1
Felipe Reyes *147311022−42-41-22-2
Willy Hernangomez2313800323−26-90-01-2
Andres Nocioni215410013−52-71-20-0
Jaycee Carroll187010104+43-100-41-2
Jeffery Taylor16243000201-30-10-0
Luka Doncic60120110−40-10-10-0
Trey Thompkins5010000000-20-20-0
Team200683418761123−925-696-2612-15

Kosner Baskonia Vitoria-Gasteiz

PlayerMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVPF+/-FG3PFT
Fabien Causeur *3015521022+116-133-80-0
Adam Hanga *297922023+123-81-20-0
Kim Tillie *247721024+123-61-30-0
Darius Adams *219140021+143-81-32-3
Ilimane Diop *164310303+111-30-02-2
Ioannis Bourousis2471410242−21-70-45-6
Jaka Blazic2113402022−54-70-25-5
Mike James194020002−52-90-40-0
Davis Bertans1611300003−33-63-52-2
Team200774614651422+926-679-3116-18

* Starter. The team's +/- is its final margin. Scores read away–home.

Win probability

The home team's chance of winning at each point of the game, from the pre-game forecast at tip-off to the result at the final buzzer. Hover or tap the line to read a point.

100%50%0%Q1Q2Q3Q4

Home at the top. Vertical rules mark the quarters and any overtime. Model: WP v1, the in-game win-probability model, with its card and results on GitHub.

Biggest swings

  1. Q4 04:52Three-point make, Real Madrid+19.6 pp for Real Madrid64–63
  2. Q4 05:43Three-point make, Real Madrid+17.2 pp for Real Madrid63–60
  3. Q4 03:26Two-point make, Kosner Baskonia Vitoria-Gasteiz+15.6 pp for Kosner Baskonia Vitoria-Gasteiz68–63
  4. Q4 04:40Two-point make, Kosner Baskonia Vitoria-Gasteiz+13.6 pp for Kosner Baskonia Vitoria-Gasteiz66–63
  5. Q4 02:59Two-point make, Kosner Baskonia Vitoria-Gasteiz+12.6 pp for Kosner Baskonia Vitoria-Gasteiz70–63

Change in win chance at the scoring play, read at the same clock. Scores read away–home after the play. pp is percentage points.

Game control

PartReal MadridKosner Baskonia Vitoria-Gasteiz
Dominance−0.05+0.05
Control28%35%
Drama2.142.14
Comeback100%78%
Crunch0.740.74

Dominance: the average lead in win chance, from −1 to +1. Control: the share of the game with a win chance above 60%. Drama: the total movement of the line. Comeback: 100% minus the lowest win chance. Crunch: the total movement in the last five minutes of regulation. The 60% and five-minute values are display conventions.

Scoring runs

A scoring run is a stretch of points by one team that the other team does not interrupt. The top three runs of each team, by points, are below.

Real Madrid

  1. +8 Q3 03:51 to Q3 01:30 56–41 to 56–49
  2. +4 Q1 08:00 to Q1 06:28 8–7 to 8–11
  3. +4 Q2 07:15 to Q2 06:43 29–21 to 29–25

Kosner Baskonia Vitoria-Gasteiz

  1. +9 Q4 04:40 to Q4 02:20 64–63 to 73–63
  2. +6 Q1 04:15 to Q1 01:50 13–16 to 19–16
  3. +6 Q2 09:52 to Q2 09:08 19–19 to 25–19