6.75

2015-16 EuroLeague · Top 16 · Thu, 21 Jan 2016

FC Barcelona at Real Madrid

87–86Final, away–home

Box score

Real Madrid

PlayerMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVPF+/-FG3PFT
Sergio Rodriguez *28184130024+147-94-50-0
Gustavo Ayon *2812342034+56-80-00-0
Felipe Reyes *2414710003+165-90-14-6
Jaycee Carroll *2214310013+126-132-60-0
Jonas Maciulis *205212001−31-31-22-2
K.C. Rivers262410003−91-40-20-0
Andres Nocioni166200011−172-72-50-0
Sergio Llull1313120000−145-103-80-1
Willy Hernangomez122321001−61-20-00-0
Jeffery Taylor110111101−30-50-10-0
Team20086302661721−134-7012-306-9

FC Barcelona

PlayerMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVPF+/-FG3PFT
Tomas Satoransky *347381021+93-81-40-0
Justin Doellman *3124312112+79-126-60-0
Stratos Perperoglou *2813110103+65-133-60-0
Ante Tomic *214510001+91-30-02-2
Juan Carlos Navarro *1612030010−74-52-32-2
Pau Ribas214260023+41-40-22-2
Samardo Samuels156310132−103-40-00-0
Alex Abrines13400001001-40-22-2
Shane Lawal1210610103−94-40-02-3
Brad Oleson93010003−41-11-10-0
Team200872323341018+132-5813-2410-11

* Starter. The team's +/- is its final margin. Scores read away–home.

Win probability

The home team's chance of winning at each point of the game, from the pre-game forecast at tip-off to the result at the final buzzer. Hover or tap the line to read a point.

100%50%0%Q1Q2Q3Q4

Home at the top. Vertical rules mark the quarters and any overtime. Model: WP v1, the in-game win-probability model, with its card and results on GitHub.

Biggest swings

  1. Q4 01:00Two-point make, FC Barcelona+29.1 pp for FC Barcelona87–86
  2. Q4 02:24Three-point make, Real Madrid+26.6 pp for Real Madrid80–81
  3. Q4 03:28Three-point make, FC Barcelona+23.7 pp for FC Barcelona80–78
  4. Q4 05:28Three-point make, Real Madrid+18.2 pp for Real Madrid75–74
  5. Q4 01:40Two-point make, Real Madrid+16.8 pp for Real Madrid80–83

Change in win chance at the scoring play, read at the same clock. Scores read away–home after the play. pp is percentage points.

Game control

PartReal MadridFC Barcelona
Dominance+0.49−0.49
Control73%0%
Drama2.532.53
Comeback56%94%
Crunch1.891.89

Dominance: the average lead in win chance, from −1 to +1. Control: the share of the game with a win chance above 60%. Drama: the total movement of the line. Comeback: 100% minus the lowest win chance. Crunch: the total movement in the last five minutes of regulation. The 60% and five-minute values are display conventions.

Scoring runs

A scoring run is a stretch of points by one team that the other team does not interrupt. The top three runs of each team, by points, are below.

Real Madrid

  1. +18 Q1 06:55 to Q1 03:12 10–2 to 10–20
  2. +7 Q1 00:25 to Q2 09:32 17–22 to 17–29
  3. +7 Q4 02:24 to Q4 00:59 80–78 to 80–85

FC Barcelona

  1. +12 Q3 03:44 to Q3 00:55 47–61 to 59–61
  2. +8 Q1 09:40 to Q1 07:48 0–0 to 8–0
  3. +8 Q3 00:07 to Q4 09:14 59–63 to 67–63