6.75

2015-16 EuroLeague · Top 16 · Thu, 14 Jan 2016

Crvena Zvezda Meridianbet Belgrade at Panathinaikos AKTOR Athens

74–63Final, away–home

Box score

Panathinaikos AKTOR Athens

PlayerMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVPF+/-FG3PFT
James Feldeine *3812310013−104-141-73-4
Nick Calathes *307125015−83-90-11-2
James Gist *2815322005−56-110-23-4
Sasha Pavlovic *140200012−70-30-20-0
Ognjen Kuzmic *125600002−92-40-01-1
Dimitris Diamantidis255340032−41-51-42-4
Antonis Fotsis180610101−20-30-30-0
Miroslav Raduljica1612111023−55-50-02-2
Vladimir Jankovic133310000−41-91-50-0
Georgios Papagiannis64100100−12-40-00-0
Team20063291282823−1124-673-2412-17

Crvena Zvezda Meridianbet Belgrade

PlayerMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVPF+/-FG3PFT
Tarence Kinsey *289641023+103-60-23-4
Stefan Jovic *259880044+123-63-50-0
Quincy Miller *224510013+71-60-32-2
Maik Zirbes *1712401114+123-60-06-10
Nemanja Dangubic *176310000+93-40-10-0
Vladimir Stimac231161201305-80-01-6
Branko Lazic2311310014+23-42-33-3
Marko Simonovic205111100+12-51-40-0
Vasilije Micic155020021−12-31-10-0
Marko Guduric112200012+31-50-20-0
Team200743819521324+1126-537-2115-25

* Starter. The team's +/- is its final margin. Scores read away–home.

Win probability

The home team's chance of winning at each point of the game, from the pre-game forecast at tip-off to the result at the final buzzer. Hover or tap the line to read a point.

100%50%0%Q1Q2Q3Q4

Home at the top. Vertical rules mark the quarters and any overtime. Model: WP v1, the in-game win-probability model, with its card and results on GitHub.

Biggest swings

  1. Q4 09:32Three-point make, Crvena Zvezda Meridianbet Belgrade+13.0 pp for Crvena Zvezda Meridianbet Belgrade57–48
  2. Q4 08:16Three-point make, Panathinaikos AKTOR Athens+11.9 pp for Panathinaikos AKTOR Athens59–51
  3. Q3 02:40Two-point make, Panathinaikos AKTOR Athens+10.2 pp for Panathinaikos AKTOR Athens50–46
  4. Q4 06:48Two-point make, Panathinaikos AKTOR Athens+9.0 pp for Panathinaikos AKTOR Athens61–53
  5. Q4 03:59Three-point make, Crvena Zvezda Meridianbet Belgrade+9.0 pp for Crvena Zvezda Meridianbet Belgrade64–53

Change in win chance at the scoring play, read at the same clock. Scores read away–home after the play. pp is percentage points.

Game control

PartPanathinaikos AKTOR AthensCrvena Zvezda Meridianbet Belgrade
Dominance−0.03+0.03
Control45%28%
Drama1.761.76
Comeback100%78%
Crunch0.180.18

Dominance: the average lead in win chance, from −1 to +1. Control: the share of the game with a win chance above 60%. Drama: the total movement of the line. Comeback: 100% minus the lowest win chance. Crunch: the total movement in the last five minutes of regulation. The 60% and five-minute values are display conventions.

Scoring runs

A scoring run is a stretch of points by one team that the other team does not interrupt. The top three runs of each team, by points, are below.

Panathinaikos AKTOR Athens

  1. +5 Q1 00:09 to Q2 09:59 16–12 to 16–17
  2. +4 Q1 09:40 to Q1 09:17 0–0 to 0–4
  3. +4 Q3 05:22 to Q3 04:53 46–36 to 46–40

Crvena Zvezda Meridianbet Belgrade

  1. +9 Q3 01:11 to Q4 09:03 50–48 to 59–48
  2. +6 Q2 01:45 to Q2 00:37 31–30 to 37–30
  3. +6 Q3 09:39 to Q3 08:05 38–34 to 44–34