6.75

2015-16 EuroLeague · Regular season, round 10 · Thu, 17 Dec 2015

Panathinaikos AKTOR Athens at Zalgiris Kaunas

75–72Final, away–home

Box score

Zalgiris Kaunas

PlayerMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVPF+/-FG3PFT
Paulius Jankunas *31131102031−26-101-20-0
Martynas Pocius *238200013−53-80-32-4
Edgaras Ulanovas *235011001−41-10-03-3
Ian Vougioukas *209520004−94-90-01-2
Mantas Kalnietis *165212031−82-81-40-0
Olivier Hanlan2719241044+17-71-14-6
Lukas Lekavicius249121013+53-72-31-2
Robertas Javtokas192101112+31-20-00-2
Brock Motum102101001−31-50-20-0
Siim-Sander Vene80000203+70-10-10-0
Team200722510931323−328-585-1611-19

Panathinaikos AKTOR Athens

PlayerMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVPF+/-FG3PFT
Nick Calathes *2814661031+45-92-32-2
James Gist *285110122−32-40-11-2
James Feldeine *2714121023+115-82-32-2
Sasha Pavlovic *27121021025+74-111-33-4
Ognjen Kuzmic *158601003−54-70-00-1
Miroslav Raduljica196300033+41-10-04-8
Antonis Fotsis186403002+102-42-30-0
Dimitris Diamantidis176232031−21-31-23-4
Vladimir Jankovic123200012−51-30-11-2
Nikos Pappas91010002−60-20-21-2
Team200753515911624+325-528-1817-27

* Starter. The team's +/- is its final margin. Scores read away–home.

Win probability

The home team's chance of winning at each point of the game, from the pre-game forecast at tip-off to the result at the final buzzer. Hover or tap the line to read a point.

100%50%0%Q1Q2Q3Q4

Home at the top. Vertical rules mark the quarters and any overtime. Model: WP v1, the in-game win-probability model, with its card and results on GitHub.

Biggest swings

  1. Q4 03:06Three-point make, Panathinaikos AKTOR Athens+24.0 pp for Panathinaikos AKTOR Athens72–69
  2. Q4 03:53Three-point make, Panathinaikos AKTOR Athens+19.7 pp for Panathinaikos AKTOR Athens69–67
  3. Q4 04:17Three-point make, Zalgiris Kaunas+19.7 pp for Zalgiris Kaunas66–67
  4. Q4 03:30Two-point make, Zalgiris Kaunas+16.0 pp for Zalgiris Kaunas69–69
  5. Q4 07:19Three-point make, Panathinaikos AKTOR Athens+14.0 pp for Panathinaikos AKTOR Athens60–60

Change in win chance at the scoring play, read at the same clock. Scores read away–home after the play. pp is percentage points.

Game control

PartZalgiris KaunasPanathinaikos AKTOR Athens
Dominance−0.05+0.05
Control10%23%
Drama2.712.71
Comeback88%76%
Crunch1.651.65

Dominance: the average lead in win chance, from −1 to +1. Control: the share of the game with a win chance above 60%. Drama: the total movement of the line. Comeback: 100% minus the lowest win chance. Crunch: the total movement in the last five minutes of regulation. The 60% and five-minute values are display conventions.

Scoring runs

A scoring run is a stretch of points by one team that the other team does not interrupt. The top three runs of each team, by points, are below.

Zalgiris Kaunas

  1. +8 Q2 06:59 to Q2 05:08 23–18 to 23–26
  2. +5 Q3 07:53 to Q3 07:26 39–36 to 39–41
  3. +5 Q3 06:10 to Q3 04:42 43–41 to 43–46

Panathinaikos AKTOR Athens

  1. +7 Q4 07:44 to Q4 07:08 55–60 to 62–60
  2. +6 Q3 02:53 to Q3 01:55 45–51 to 51–51
  3. +5 Q1 05:48 to Q1 05:15 6–4 to 11–4