6.75

2015-16 EuroLeague · Regular season, round 10 · Fri, 18 Dec 2015

FC Bayern Munich at Crvena Zvezda Meridianbet Belgrade

76–85Final, away–home

Box score

Crvena Zvezda Meridianbet Belgrade

PlayerMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVPF+/-FG3PFT
Quincy Miller *36211010222+148-173-62-4
Maik Zirbes *3417921103+215-70-17-8
Stefan Jovic *3191132033+153-52-31-1
Branko Lazic *246220045+162-40-12-2
Marko Simonovic *198311000+53-72-50-0
Marko Guduric1916210020+75-83-53-3
Ryan Thompson164102111−162-30-10-1
Marcus Williams90020022−70-30-20-0
Vladimir Stimac64000110−121-20-02-2
Marko Tejic20000000−20-00-00-0
Nikola Rebic20110012+40-00-00-0
Nemanja Dangubic0000000100-00-00-0
Team200852923651619+929-5610-2417-21

FC Bayern Munich

PlayerMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVPF+/-FG3PFT
Dusko Savanovic *3019610102−218-153-90-0
K.C. Rivers *2710021013−153-63-61-2
Bryce Taylor *264330002−91-40-12-2
Alex Renfroe *249431063−84-91-30-0
Deon Thompson *2117513123−28-130-01-1
Nihad Djedovic258314002+13-80-42-3
Anton Gavel174161021+11-40-12-2
Paul Zipser142310201+41-50-20-0
John Bryant83000003+31-21-20-0
Vasilije Micic40000020−10-10-00-0
Andreas Seiferth30000001+20-00-00-0
Team2007625181041321−930-678-288-10

* Starter. The team's +/- is its final margin. Scores read away–home.

Win probability

The home team's chance of winning at each point of the game, from the pre-game forecast at tip-off to the result at the final buzzer. Hover or tap the line to read a point.

100%50%0%Q1Q2Q3Q4

Home at the top. Vertical rules mark the quarters and any overtime. Model: WP v1, the in-game win-probability model, with its card and results on GitHub.

Biggest swings

  1. Q4 06:24Three-point make, Crvena Zvezda Meridianbet Belgrade+16.2 pp for Crvena Zvezda Meridianbet Belgrade69–68
  2. Q4 06:58Three-point make, Crvena Zvezda Meridianbet Belgrade+14.9 pp for Crvena Zvezda Meridianbet Belgrade67–64
  3. Q4 07:27Three-point make, Crvena Zvezda Meridianbet Belgrade+13.0 pp for Crvena Zvezda Meridianbet Belgrade67–61
  4. Q4 06:45Two-point make, FC Bayern Munich+12.9 pp for FC Bayern Munich69–65
  5. Q4 04:14Two-point make, Crvena Zvezda Meridianbet Belgrade+12.8 pp for Crvena Zvezda Meridianbet Belgrade73–74

Change in win chance at the scoring play, read at the same clock. Scores read away–home after the play. pp is percentage points.

Game control

PartCrvena Zvezda Meridianbet BelgradeFC Bayern Munich
Dominance+0.37−0.37
Control75%13%
Drama2.062.06
Comeback78%100%
Crunch0.720.72

Dominance: the average lead in win chance, from −1 to +1. Control: the share of the game with a win chance above 60%. Drama: the total movement of the line. Comeback: 100% minus the lowest win chance. Crunch: the total movement in the last five minutes of regulation. The 60% and five-minute values are display conventions.

Scoring runs

A scoring run is a stretch of points by one team that the other team does not interrupt. The top three runs of each team, by points, are below.

Crvena Zvezda Meridianbet Belgrade

  1. +11 Q1 07:17 to Q1 06:02 5–5 to 5–16
  2. +9 Q4 08:06 to Q4 06:56 67–56 to 67–65
  3. +8 Q4 01:30 to Q4 00:21 74–76 to 74–84

FC Bayern Munich

  1. +8 Q3 09:21 to Q3 06:36 40–46 to 48–46
  2. +6 Q2 09:29 to Q2 07:02 20–31 to 26–31
  3. +6 Q3 02:40 to Q3 01:58 53–52 to 59–52