6.75

2015-16 EuroLeague · Regular season, round 9 · Fri, 11 Dec 2015

Armani Olimpia Milan at Cedevita Zagreb

85–82Final, away–home

Box score

Cedevita Zagreb

PlayerMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVPF+/-FG3PFT
Miro Bilan *3123460143+29-120-05-5
Luka Babic *317601014+22-62-51-2
James White *269550013−53-40-03-4
Nemanja Gordic *190040013−80-30-10-0
Karlo Zganec *84020001−92-20-00-0
Marko Arapovic2816712003+56-113-41-2
Jacob Pullen2411570132+34-81-32-5
Fran Pilepic218211010−12-52-52-2
Luka Zoric82200014−11-10-00-0
Henry Walker52010021−30-00-02-2
Team200823127421424−329-528-1816-22

Armani Olimpia Milan

PlayerMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVPF+/-FG3PFT
Charles Jenkins *30823200103-92-40-0
Krunoslav Simon *3013471124+84-153-112-3
Andrea Cinciarini *305241013−12-50-11-1
Jamel McLean *2515422014+116-110-13-3
Stanko Barac *144020104+82-30-00-0
Robbie Hummel2721830021−26-104-65-5
Oliver Lafayette187311004+13-91-50-0
Milan Macvan1410500000−113-71-33-3
Bruno Cerella132010002+11-30-20-0
Team20085282372623+330-7211-3314-15

* Starter. The team's +/- is its final margin. Scores read away–home.

Win probability

The home team's chance of winning at each point of the game, from the pre-game forecast at tip-off to the result at the final buzzer. Hover or tap the line to read a point.

100%50%0%Q1Q2Q3Q4

Home at the top. Vertical rules mark the quarters and any overtime. Model: WP v1, the in-game win-probability model, with its card and results on GitHub.

Biggest swings

  1. Q4 00:05Three-point make, Armani Olimpia Milan+23.8 pp for Armani Olimpia Milan85–80
  2. Q4 00:16Free throw, Cedevita Zagreb+13.5 pp for Cedevita Zagreb82–80
  3. Q4 00:02Two-point make, Cedevita Zagreb+11.8 pp for Cedevita Zagreb85–82
  4. Q3 03:17Three-point make, Armani Olimpia Milan+11.4 pp for Armani Olimpia Milan59–51
  5. Q3 00:08Three-point make, Cedevita Zagreb+10.9 pp for Cedevita Zagreb66–57

Change in win chance at the scoring play, read at the same clock. Scores read away–home after the play. pp is percentage points.

Game control

PartCedevita ZagrebArmani Olimpia Milan
Dominance−0.31+0.31
Control10%58%
Drama1.631.63
Comeback99%72%
Crunch0.940.94

Dominance: the average lead in win chance, from −1 to +1. Control: the share of the game with a win chance above 60%. Drama: the total movement of the line. Comeback: 100% minus the lowest win chance. Crunch: the total movement in the last five minutes of regulation. The 60% and five-minute values are display conventions.

Scoring runs

A scoring run is a stretch of points by one team that the other team does not interrupt. The top three runs of each team, by points, are below.

Cedevita Zagreb

  1. +9 Q3 07:37 to Q3 05:38 50–36 to 50–45
  2. +7 Q2 00:32 to Q3 08:40 45–29 to 45–36
  3. +5 Q3 04:16 to Q3 03:37 56–46 to 56–51

Armani Olimpia Milan

  1. +10 Q1 06:33 to Q1 04:16 2–6 to 12–6
  2. +7 Q3 03:17 to Q3 01:55 56–51 to 63–51
  3. +6 Q2 02:29 to Q2 02:04 34–26 to 40–26