6.75

2014-15 EuroLeague · Regular season, round 8 · Fri, 5 Dec 2014

Crvena Zvezda Meridianbet Belgrade at Valencia Basket

77–68Final, away–home

Box score

Valencia Basket

PlayerMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVPF+/-FG3PFT
Vladimir Lucic *3514611102−56-92-50-0
Guillem Vives *314132004−12-60-10-0
Rafa Martinez *227320033−43-41-20-0
Luke Harangody *204120000−12-30-10-0
Kresimir Loncar *122301023+41-70-20-0
Bojan Dubljevic2922512011−137-164-64-4
Pau Ribas2715262024−56-103-40-0
Romain Sato160000112−80-40-20-0
Nemanja Nedovic100010111−80-30-10-0
Pablo Aguilar40000000−40-00-00-0
Team205682116831020−927-6210-244-4

Crvena Zvezda Meridianbet Belgrade

PlayerMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVPF+/-FG3PFT
Luka Mitrovic *329561123+194-101-40-0
Boban Marjanovic *23181101131−58-120-02-2
Marcus Williams *2217221031+56-115-90-0
Branko Lazic *211221002+20-20-21-2
Nemanja Dangubic *194520022−91-30-12-4
Nikola Kalinic2811511023+44-91-22-3
Jaka Blazic246500011+112-70-22-2
Charles Jenkins198011011+43-71-31-2
Maik Zirbes183710113+141-20-01-2
Team205774215631517+929-638-2311-17

* Starter. The team's +/- is its final margin. Scores read away–home.

Win probability

The home team's chance of winning at each point of the game, from the pre-game forecast at tip-off to the result at the final buzzer. Hover or tap the line to read a point.

100%50%0%Q1Q2Q3Q4

Home at the top. Vertical rules mark the quarters and any overtime. Model: WP v1, the in-game win-probability model, with its card and results on GitHub.

Biggest swings

  1. Q4 03:08Two-point make, Crvena Zvezda Meridianbet Belgrade+13.3 pp for Crvena Zvezda Meridianbet Belgrade69–64
  2. Q4 02:28Two-point make, Crvena Zvezda Meridianbet Belgrade+12.2 pp for Crvena Zvezda Meridianbet Belgrade71–66
  3. Q4 06:14Two-point make, Valencia Basket+10.9 pp for Valencia Basket67–64
  4. Q4 08:08Three-point make, Valencia Basket+10.9 pp for Valencia Basket64–58
  5. Q3 02:54Three-point make, Valencia Basket+10.5 pp for Valencia Basket57–52

Change in win chance at the scoring play, read at the same clock. Scores read away–home after the play. pp is percentage points.

Game control

PartValencia BasketCrvena Zvezda Meridianbet Belgrade
Dominance−0.25+0.25
Control8%53%
Drama2.032.03
Comeback100%66%
Crunch0.460.46

Dominance: the average lead in win chance, from −1 to +1. Control: the share of the game with a win chance above 60%. Drama: the total movement of the line. Comeback: 100% minus the lowest win chance. Crunch: the total movement in the last five minutes of regulation. The 60% and five-minute values are display conventions.

Scoring runs

A scoring run is a stretch of points by one team that the other team does not interrupt. The top three runs of each team, by points, are below.

Valencia Basket

  1. +8 Q4 08:58 to Q4 07:41 64–52 to 64–60
  2. +6 Q1 05:05 to Q1 03:42 8–7 to 8–13
  3. +5 Q2 00:47 to Q3 09:23 42–35 to 42–40

Crvena Zvezda Meridianbet Belgrade

  1. +12 Q1 01:59 to Q2 09:48 11–16 to 23–16
  2. +7 Q3 08:18 to Q3 06:58 44–42 to 51–42
  3. +7 Q3 02:28 to Q4 09:18 57–52 to 64–52