6.75

2014-15 EuroLeague · Regular season, round 6 · Fri, 21 Nov 2014

Real Madrid at Zalgiris Kaunas

68–66Final, away–home

Box score

Zalgiris Kaunas

PlayerMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVPF+/-FG3PFT
James Anderson *3221931121+109-183-60-1
Robertas Javtokas *294421202+22-50-00-0
Paulius Jankunas *2517800114+185-73-44-5
Lukas Lekavicius *212031014−71-60-20-0
Vytenis Lipkevicius *84220021−42-20-00-0
Arturas Milaknis206120002−52-52-40-1
Edgaras Ulanovas204001003−92-50-10-0
Vaidas Kariniauskas192210131+50-30-12-2
Darius Songaila156100143−162-30-02-2
Arturas Gudaitis110200001−40-00-00-0
Team200662913461322−225-548-188-11

Real Madrid

PlayerMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVPF+/-FG3PFT
Sergio Llull *3211431012+125-121-30-0
Jonas Maciulis *289331012+83-51-32-2
Sergio Rodriguez *2714270022+175-112-52-2
Ioannis Bourousis *254911422+61-60-12-2
Gustavo Ayon *157410001−33-50-01-2
Andres Nocioni1811410104+114-72-31-2
Jaycee Carroll144200000−142-70-40-0
K.C. Rivers140110000−110-30-00-0
Salah Mejri124200003−71-20-02-8
Felipe Reyes114201002−32-70-00-0
Facundo Campazzo50010000−60-10-10-0
Team20068331845618+226-666-2010-18

* Starter. The team's +/- is its final margin. Scores read away–home.

Win probability

The home team's chance of winning at each point of the game, from the pre-game forecast at tip-off to the result at the final buzzer. Hover or tap the line to read a point.

100%50%0%Q1Q2Q3Q4

Home at the top. Vertical rules mark the quarters and any overtime. Model: WP v1, the in-game win-probability model, with its card and results on GitHub.

Biggest swings

  1. Q4 01:02Two-point make, Real Madrid+26.4 pp for Real Madrid66–65
  2. Q4 02:52Three-point make, Real Madrid+23.6 pp for Real Madrid62–65
  3. Q4 02:22Two-point make, Real Madrid+18.4 pp for Real Madrid64–65
  4. Q4 03:28Three-point make, Real Madrid+14.8 pp for Real Madrid59–65
  5. Q4 00:05Free throw, Real Madrid+12.6 pp for Real Madrid67–66

Change in win chance at the scoring play, read at the same clock. Scores read away–home after the play. pp is percentage points.

Game control

PartZalgiris KaunasReal Madrid
Dominance−0.30+0.30
Control10%58%
Drama2.442.44
Comeback89%79%
Crunch1.391.39

Dominance: the average lead in win chance, from −1 to +1. Control: the share of the game with a win chance above 60%. Drama: the total movement of the line. Comeback: 100% minus the lowest win chance. Crunch: the total movement in the last five minutes of regulation. The 60% and five-minute values are display conventions.

Scoring runs

A scoring run is a stretch of points by one team that the other team does not interrupt. The top three runs of each team, by points, are below.

Zalgiris Kaunas

  1. +6 Q3 03:34 to Q3 02:29 49–46 to 49–52
  2. +6 Q4 05:17 to Q4 03:38 56–59 to 56–65
  3. +5 Q2 00:58 to Q2 00:08 38–33 to 38–38

Real Madrid

  1. +15 Q1 03:40 to Q1 00:26 9–14 to 24–14
  2. +10 Q4 03:28 to Q4 01:02 56–65 to 66–65
  3. +6 Q2 09:06 to Q2 08:02 24–18 to 30–18