6.75

2014-15 EuroLeague · Regular season, round 3 · Thu, 30 Oct 2014

Valencia Basket at Crvena Zvezda Meridianbet Belgrade

63–76Final, away–home

Box score

Crvena Zvezda Meridianbet Belgrade

PlayerMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVPF+/-FG3PFT
Boban Marjanovic *3116930013+116-80-04-4
Marcus Williams *2814480042+144-102-64-5
Luka Mitrovic *2810432022+143-70-04-6
Branko Lazic *152202023+51-40-20-0
Nemanja Dangubic *135210031+172-41-10-0
Nikola Kalinic3012401010−25-92-30-3
Jaka Blazic1813210033+124-60-15-5
Charles Jenkins152111004−101-60-10-0
Stefan Jovic120021012−10-10-10-0
Maik Zirbes92200033+41-10-00-0
Marko Tejic10000001+10-00-00-0
Team200763019702024+1327-565-1517-23

Valencia Basket

PlayerMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVPF+/-FG3PFT
Romain Sato *325702124−102-80-31-2
Sam Van Rossom *2912303025−85-80-32-2
Pau Ribas *2013221011−55-91-22-2
Luke Harangody *160210011−150-50-30-0
Serhiy Lishchuk *155300024+21-50-03-4
Dwight Buycks2414120031−56-80-22-2
Vladimir Lucic211210123−70-20-21-2
Bojan Dubljevic1710212022−174-81-41-2
Pablo Aguilar133210101−11-21-20-0
Kresimir Loncar60100012+20-10-10-2
Guillem Vives4013002100-00-00-0
Rafa Martinez20000000−10-10-10-0
Team200632611831825−1324-573-2312-18

* Starter. The team's +/- is its final margin. Scores read away–home.

Win probability

The home team's chance of winning at each point of the game, from the pre-game forecast at tip-off to the result at the final buzzer. Hover or tap the line to read a point.

100%50%0%Q1Q2Q3Q4

Home at the top. Vertical rules mark the quarters and any overtime. Model: WP v1, the in-game win-probability model, with its card and results on GitHub.

Biggest swings

  1. Q1 00:23Three-point make, Valencia Basket+5.3 pp for Valencia Basket16–21
  2. Q1 06:02Three-point make, Crvena Zvezda Meridianbet Belgrade+5.0 pp for Crvena Zvezda Meridianbet Belgrade8–11
  3. Q1 05:29Two-point make, Crvena Zvezda Meridianbet Belgrade+4.5 pp for Crvena Zvezda Meridianbet Belgrade8–13
  4. Q1 03:53Two-point make, Valencia Basket+4.5 pp for Valencia Basket10–13
  5. Q1 03:15Two-point make, Valencia Basket+4.5 pp for Valencia Basket12–15

Change in win chance at the scoring play, read at the same clock. Scores read away–home after the play. pp is percentage points.

Game control

PartCrvena Zvezda Meridianbet BelgradeValencia Basket
Dominance+0.77−0.77
Control100%0%
Drama0.670.67
Comeback35%100%
Crunch0.000.00

Dominance: the average lead in win chance, from −1 to +1. Control: the share of the game with a win chance above 60%. Drama: the total movement of the line. Comeback: 100% minus the lowest win chance. Crunch: the total movement in the last five minutes of regulation. The 60% and five-minute values are display conventions.

Scoring runs

A scoring run is a stretch of points by one team that the other team does not interrupt. The top three runs of each team, by points, are below.

Crvena Zvezda Meridianbet Belgrade

  1. +8 Q2 07:56 to Q2 04:44 18–23 to 18–31
  2. +7 Q1 06:27 to Q1 05:29 8–6 to 8–13
  3. +7 Q3 08:32 to Q3 07:48 30–44 to 30–51

Valencia Basket

  1. +9 Q4 06:54 to Q4 04:44 44–69 to 53–69
  2. +7 Q4 02:21 to Q4 01:23 55–74 to 62–74
  3. +6 Q1 07:37 to Q1 06:52 2–6 to 8–6