6.75

2014-15 EuroLeague · Top 16 · Thu, 12 Mar 2015

ALBA Berlin at Real Madrid

62–93Final, away–home

Box score

Real Madrid

PlayerMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVPF+/-FG3PFT
Rudy Fernandez *2511282011+263-72-43-3
Sergio Llull *2312152030+264-80-34-5
Gustavo Ayon *1710600311+234-60-02-2
Felipe Reyes *168812113+192-30-14-4
K.C. Rivers *137300002+213-51-30-0
Sergio Rodriguez219031001+83-81-42-2
Jaycee Carroll1913400020+45-82-41-1
Andres Nocioni1710401012+112-41-25-5
Jonas Maciulis165020001+71-31-22-4
Marcus Slaughter152520012+31-10-00-0
Ioannis Bourousis146320011+41-10-04-4
Facundo Campazzo40110100+30-10-00-0
Team200933724851114+3129-558-2327-30

ALBA Berlin

PlayerMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVPF+/-FG3PFT
Niels Giffey *266300022−172-82-30-0
Alex Renfroe *237652031−113-51-20-0
Reggie Redding *2214212113−146-102-30-0
Jonas Wohlfarth *209200003−174-110-01-2
Marko Banic *155411000−102-40-01-2
Akeem Vargas290231013−310-30-20-0
Alex King2710111023−154-112-60-0
Ismet Akpinar186130025−222-52-30-0
Jannik Freese151200002−130-60-01-4
Martin Seiferth54100002−52-20-00-2
Team200622414711124−3125-659-193-10

* Starter. The team's +/- is its final margin. Scores read away–home.

Win probability

The home team's chance of winning at each point of the game, from the pre-game forecast at tip-off to the result at the final buzzer. Hover or tap the line to read a point.

100%50%0%Q1Q2Q3Q4

Home at the top. Vertical rules mark the quarters and any overtime. Model: WP v1, the in-game win-probability model, with its card and results on GitHub.

Biggest swings

  1. Q1 07:18Two-point make, Real Madrid+2.4 pp for Real Madrid3–7
  2. Q1 06:50Two-point make, ALBA Berlin+2.4 pp for ALBA Berlin5–7
  3. Q2 04:00Three-point make, ALBA Berlin+2.3 pp for ALBA Berlin33–39
  4. Q1 06:12Three-point make, Real Madrid+2.2 pp for Real Madrid7–10
  5. Q1 04:15Two-point make, Real Madrid+1.9 pp for Real Madrid9–16

Change in win chance at the scoring play, read at the same clock. Scores read away–home after the play. pp is percentage points.

Game control

PartReal MadridALBA Berlin
Dominance+0.92−0.92
Control100%0%
Drama0.250.25
Comeback11%100%
Crunch0.000.00

Dominance: the average lead in win chance, from −1 to +1. Control: the share of the game with a win chance above 60%. Drama: the total movement of the line. Comeback: 100% minus the lowest win chance. Crunch: the total movement in the last five minutes of regulation. The 60% and five-minute values are display conventions.

Scoring runs

A scoring run is a stretch of points by one team that the other team does not interrupt. The top three runs of each team, by points, are below.

Real Madrid

  1. +9 Q3 09:41 to Q3 07:15 39–46 to 39–55
  2. +8 Q4 02:35 to Q4 01:41 58–83 to 58–91
  3. +7 Q1 03:33 to Q1 02:32 11–16 to 11–23

ALBA Berlin

  1. +6 Q2 03:26 to Q2 04:00 27–39 to 33–39
  2. +5 Q1 02:21 to Q1 00:56 11–23 to 16–23
  3. +5 Q2 08:11 to Q2 06:48 18–30 to 23–30