6.75

2014-15 EuroLeague · Top 16 · Thu, 5 Feb 2015

Zalgiris Kaunas at Crvena Zvezda Meridianbet Belgrade

70–68Final, away–home

Box score

Crvena Zvezda Meridianbet Belgrade

PlayerMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVPF+/-FG3PFT
Marcus Williams *289374022+64-160-51-2
Boban Marjanovic *28171020010−66-70-05-5
Luka Mitrovic *254712003−82-70-30-0
Charles Jenkins *236110023−142-80-42-2
Nemanja Dangubic *50010011−40-00-00-0
Jaka Blazic2612121002+135-140-22-2
Nikola Kalinic257213013+82-90-33-5
Branko Lazic155200003−82-50-11-1
Maik Zirbes126310000+43-40-00-0
Marko Tejic122400105+21-30-10-0
Nikola Rebic10000010−30-00-00-0
Team200683316101822−227-730-1914-17

Zalgiris Kaunas

PlayerMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVPF+/-FG3PFT
James Anderson *3122511112+168-172-64-4
Paulius Jankunas *291181101204-60-23-5
Edgaras Ulanovas *286510052−62-30-02-2
Lukas Lekavicius *238530025+23-40-12-2
Arturas Gudaitis *1910300312+64-90-12-2
Arturas Milaknis215130123−82-51-40-0
Robertas Javtokas214400303−42-50-00-0
Will Cherry17211001101-10-00-0
Darius Songaila102100021+21-30-00-0
Siim-Sander Vene00000000+20-00-00-0
Team200703310281521+227-533-1413-15

* Starter. The team's +/- is its final margin. Scores read away–home.

Win probability

The home team's chance of winning at each point of the game, from the pre-game forecast at tip-off to the result at the final buzzer. Hover or tap the line to read a point.

100%50%0%Q1Q2Q3Q4

Home at the top. Vertical rules mark the quarters and any overtime. Model: WP v1, the in-game win-probability model, with its card and results on GitHub.

Biggest swings

  1. Q4 00:30Two-point make, Crvena Zvezda Meridianbet Belgrade+23.1 pp for Crvena Zvezda Meridianbet Belgrade70–68
  2. Q4 02:12Two-point make, Zalgiris Kaunas+19.0 pp for Zalgiris Kaunas69–64
  3. Q4 01:50Two-point make, Crvena Zvezda Meridianbet Belgrade+17.1 pp for Crvena Zvezda Meridianbet Belgrade69–66
  4. Q4 03:24Two-point make, Zalgiris Kaunas+15.6 pp for Zalgiris Kaunas67–64
  5. Q4 03:59Two-point make, Zalgiris Kaunas+15.2 pp for Zalgiris Kaunas65–61

Change in win chance at the scoring play, read at the same clock. Scores read away–home after the play. pp is percentage points.

Game control

PartCrvena Zvezda Meridianbet BelgradeZalgiris Kaunas
Dominance+0.01−0.01
Control23%25%
Drama2.642.64
Comeback83%71%
Crunch1.221.22

Dominance: the average lead in win chance, from −1 to +1. Control: the share of the game with a win chance above 60%. Drama: the total movement of the line. Comeback: 100% minus the lowest win chance. Crunch: the total movement in the last five minutes of regulation. The 60% and five-minute values are display conventions.

Scoring runs

A scoring run is a stretch of points by one team that the other team does not interrupt. The top three runs of each team, by points, are below.

Crvena Zvezda Meridianbet Belgrade

  1. +6 Q2 01:44 to Q2 00:29 37–28 to 37–34
  2. +6 Q4 06:17 to Q4 05:16 63–55 to 63–61
  3. +5 Q3 02:56 to Q3 02:22 50–40 to 50–45

Zalgiris Kaunas

  1. +7 Q3 04:53 to Q3 03:50 43–40 to 50–40
  2. +6 Q1 07:11 to Q1 05:13 4–4 to 10–4
  3. +6 Q4 09:59 to Q4 09:19 53–49 to 59–49