6.75

2014-15 EuroLeague · Regular season, round 1 · Fri, 17 Oct 2014

Zalgiris Kaunas at Real Madrid

71–80Final, away–home

Box score

Real Madrid

PlayerMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVPF+/-FG3PFT
Sergio Llull *277230012+132-61-42-2
Rudy Fernandez *255331011+71-60-33-4
Gustavo Ayon *2410644013+45-90-00-0
Ioannis Bourousis *198802014+33-80-02-3
K.C. Rivers *14512101102-71-30-0
Felipe Reyes1611521014+103-60-05-6
Sergio Rodriguez169020001−43-71-42-6
Jaycee Carroll157110011−33-50-21-2
Andres Nocioni157102113+23-61-30-0
Jonas Maciulis159510003+42-62-23-4
Facundo Campazzo72020004+101-30-10-0
Marcus Slaughter50111001−10-00-00-0
Team200803321121828+928-696-2218-27

Zalgiris Kaunas

PlayerMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVPF+/-FG3PFT
James Anderson *2819321124−27-133-62-3
Paulius Jankunas *27540112302-70-01-1
Lukas Lekavicius *27845003304-40-00-0
Robertas Javtokas *194300024−71-20-02-4
Vytenis Lipkevicius *110110012+40-10-00-0
Arturas Milaknis2913111013−105-83-50-0
Darius Songaila178201000−62-50-04-4
Arturas Gudaitis176810113−52-50-02-6
Vaidas Kariniauskas135000010−91-20-13-6
Edgaras Ulanovas81310021−80-10-01-2
Tomas Dimsa42100002−21-20-00-0
Siim-Sander Vene0000000000-00-00-0
Team200713011431525−925-506-1215-26

* Starter. The team's +/- is its final margin. Scores read away–home.

Win probability

The home team's chance of winning at each point of the game, from the pre-game forecast at tip-off to the result at the final buzzer. Hover or tap the line to read a point.

100%50%0%Q1Q2Q3Q4

Home at the top. Vertical rules mark the quarters and any overtime. Model: WP v1, the in-game win-probability model, with its card and results on GitHub.

Biggest swings

  1. Q2 04:35Three-point make, Real Madrid+5.5 pp for Real Madrid26–25
  2. Q2 04:03Three-point make, Zalgiris Kaunas+5.5 pp for Zalgiris Kaunas29–25
  3. Q1 06:37Three-point make, Zalgiris Kaunas+5.1 pp for Zalgiris Kaunas7–2
  4. Q2 08:24Three-point make, Zalgiris Kaunas+5.1 pp for Zalgiris Kaunas17–18
  5. Q3 06:42Two-point make, Real Madrid+5.0 pp for Real Madrid39–38

Change in win chance at the scoring play, read at the same clock. Scores read away–home after the play. pp is percentage points.

Game control

PartReal MadridZalgiris Kaunas
Dominance+0.74−0.74
Control100%0%
Drama0.960.96
Comeback27%100%
Crunch0.130.13

Dominance: the average lead in win chance, from −1 to +1. Control: the share of the game with a win chance above 60%. Drama: the total movement of the line. Comeback: 100% minus the lowest win chance. Crunch: the total movement in the last five minutes of regulation. The 60% and five-minute values are display conventions.

Scoring runs

A scoring run is a stretch of points by one team that the other team does not interrupt. The top three runs of each team, by points, are below.

Real Madrid

  1. +11 Q3 07:59 to Q3 04:19 39–34 to 39–45
  2. +9 Q1 01:39 to Q2 08:40 14–9 to 14–18
  3. +5 Q2 03:07 to Q2 02:06 31–25 to 31–30

Zalgiris Kaunas

  1. +7 Q1 08:16 to Q1 06:37 0–2 to 7–2
  2. +6 Q4 05:50 to Q4 04:32 55–66 to 61–66
  3. +5 Q2 07:25 to Q2 06:50 19–20 to 24–20