6.75

2013-14 EuroLeague · Regular season, round 8 · Thu, 5 Dec 2013

Real Madrid at Armani Olimpia Milan

78–71Final, away–home

Box score

Armani Olimpia Milan

PlayerMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVPF+/-FG3PFT
Curtis Jerrells *309341020−104-121-40-0
C.J. Wallace *2910711003−13-92-42-2
Keith Langford *298620042−71-80-36-8
Alessandro Gentile *2614241022+35-151-33-5
Gani Lawal *2010310024−14-80-02-3
David Moss213211014−31-41-40-0
Nicolo Melli189200013−103-41-22-2
Marquez Haynes140100002−40-40-10-0
David Chiotti128811001−24-50-00-0
Team200713414501221−725-696-2115-20

Real Madrid

PlayerMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVPF+/-FG3PFT
Rudy Fernandez *3016530011+25-83-63-3
Sergio Llull *286372123−22-70-32-2
Nikola Mirotic *268521132+62-70-24-4
Tremmell Darden *158100012+43-62-40-0
Salah Mejri *141070044305-60-00-1
Marcus Slaughter234201123+111-20-02-2
Sergio Rodriguez1910131004+74-82-50-0
Jaycee Carroll198120021+32-52-52-2
Felipe Reyes168610014+12-40-04-4
Dontaye Draper100010001+30-10-00-0
Team200783119571624+726-549-2517-18

* Starter. The team's +/- is its final margin. Scores read away–home.

Win probability

The home team's chance of winning at each point of the game, from the pre-game forecast at tip-off to the result at the final buzzer. Hover or tap the line to read a point.

100%50%0%Q1Q2Q3Q4

Home at the top. Vertical rules mark the quarters and any overtime. Model: WP v1, the in-game win-probability model, with its card and results on GitHub.

Biggest swings

  1. Q2 07:29Three-point make, Real Madrid+7.8 pp for Real Madrid28–21
  2. Q1 06:10Three-point make, Armani Olimpia Milan+6.2 pp for Armani Olimpia Milan9–9
  3. Q1 07:24Three-point make, Real Madrid+6.0 pp for Real Madrid9–5
  4. Q1 09:00Three-point make, Real Madrid+5.3 pp for Real Madrid6–5
  5. Q1 09:19Three-point make, Armani Olimpia Milan+5.0 pp for Armani Olimpia Milan0–3

Change in win chance at the scoring play, read at the same clock. Scores read away–home after the play. pp is percentage points.

Game control

PartArmani Olimpia MilanReal Madrid
Dominance−0.79+0.79
Control0%100%
Drama0.820.82
Comeback100%38%
Crunch0.000.00

Dominance: the average lead in win chance, from −1 to +1. Control: the share of the game with a win chance above 60%. Drama: the total movement of the line. Comeback: 100% minus the lowest win chance. Crunch: the total movement in the last five minutes of regulation. The 60% and five-minute values are display conventions.

Scoring runs

A scoring run is a stretch of points by one team that the other team does not interrupt. The top three runs of each team, by points, are below.

Armani Olimpia Milan

  1. +8 Q4 01:02 to Q4 00:06 78–63 to 78–71
  2. +6 Q1 06:29 to Q1 05:28 9–5 to 9–11
  3. +6 Q2 01:09 to Q2 00:14 46–28 to 46–34

Real Madrid

  1. +12 Q2 07:29 to Q2 04:51 25–21 to 37–21
  2. +8 Q1 04:54 to Q1 03:36 9–11 to 17–11
  3. +6 Q1 09:00 to Q1 07:24 3–5 to 9–5