6.75

2013-14 EuroLeague · Top 16 · Thu, 13 Feb 2014

Real Madrid at Lokomotiv Kuban Krasnodar

78–74Final, away–home

Box score

Lokomotiv Kuban Krasnodar

PlayerMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVPF+/-FG3PFT
Mantas Kalnietis *3615470022+65-94-61-1
Derrick Brown *3521501023−19-170-13-6
Krunoslav Simon *3214362014+63-82-66-6
Richard Hendrix *30121011302+125-70-02-2
Valeriy Likhodey *160110015+30-40-20-0
Simas Jasaitis140200101−140-10-10-0
Marcus Williams130020011−150-40-30-0
Maxim Grigoryev115002011+22-60-41-2
Aleks Maric85410013−102-30-01-4
Andrey Zubkov42000012−30-20-22-2
Alexey Zhukanenko10000000−60-10-10-0
Team200742918641024−426-626-2616-23

Real Madrid

PlayerMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVPF+/-FG3PFT
Sergio Llull *3815152011+66-143-70-0
Rudy Fernandez *287621021−103-81-30-0
Ioannis Bourousis *229510113−34-70-11-2
Nikola Mirotic *2112901033−42-60-18-10
Tremmell Darden *202221003+51-60-00-0
Sergio Rodriguez2616631031+136-72-32-2
Felipe Reyes184100012+62-70-00-0
Marcus Slaughter117320012−23-30-01-2
Salah Mejri96600301+112-20-02-4
Dontaye Draper80100012−20-20-00-0
Team200784015641319+429-626-1514-20

* Starter. The team's +/- is its final margin. Scores read away–home.

Win probability

The home team's chance of winning at each point of the game, from the pre-game forecast at tip-off to the result at the final buzzer. Hover or tap the line to read a point.

100%50%0%Q1Q2Q3Q4

Home at the top. Vertical rules mark the quarters and any overtime. Model: WP v1, the in-game win-probability model, with its card and results on GitHub.

Biggest swings

  1. Q4 01:46Three-point make, Lokomotiv Kuban Krasnodar+22.1 pp for Lokomotiv Kuban Krasnodar74–74
  2. Q4 00:55Two-point make, Real Madrid+22.0 pp for Real Madrid76–74
  3. Q4 03:01Two-point make, Real Madrid+12.2 pp for Real Madrid73–70
  4. Q2 08:58Three-point make, Lokomotiv Kuban Krasnodar+10.2 pp for Lokomotiv Kuban Krasnodar21–28
  5. Q4 00:14Two-point make, Real Madrid+9.7 pp for Real Madrid78–74

Change in win chance at the scoring play, read at the same clock. Scores read away–home after the play. pp is percentage points.

Game control

PartLokomotiv Kuban KrasnodarReal Madrid
Dominance−0.39+0.39
Control3%63%
Drama2.312.31
Comeback99%60%
Crunch0.990.99

Dominance: the average lead in win chance, from −1 to +1. Control: the share of the game with a win chance above 60%. Drama: the total movement of the line. Comeback: 100% minus the lowest win chance. Crunch: the total movement in the last five minutes of regulation. The 60% and five-minute values are display conventions.

Scoring runs

A scoring run is a stretch of points by one team that the other team does not interrupt. The top three runs of each team, by points, are below.

Lokomotiv Kuban Krasnodar

  1. +13 Q1 07:02 to Q1 05:12 3–3 to 3–16
  2. +10 Q4 06:01 to Q4 03:10 71–60 to 71–70
  3. +8 Q3 04:29 to Q3 01:42 53–45 to 53–53

Real Madrid

  1. +9 Q2 04:50 to Q2 03:07 25–32 to 34–32
  2. +8 Q1 00:34 to Q2 09:50 13–23 to 21–23
  3. +6 Q2 00:48 to Q3 09:35 36–36 to 42–36