6.75

2013-14 EuroLeague · Top 16 · Fri, 24 Jan 2014

Zalgiris Kaunas at Lokomotiv Kuban Krasnodar

75–80Final, away–home

Box score

Lokomotiv Kuban Krasnodar

PlayerMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVPF+/-FG3PFT
Krunoslav Simon *3421682142+158-114-61-1
Mantas Kalnietis *299573021−53-42-21-2
Aleks Maric *2510442202+64-70-02-2
Derrick Brown *214201033−12-60-00-0
Sergey Bykov *199142025+63-60-13-3
Simas Jasaitis2911410001−74-81-42-2
Valeriy Likhodey1711100201+123-53-42-2
Alexey Zhukanenko112110222−30-20-12-4
Andrey Zubkov72001012−61-30-10-0
Marcus Williams60000012+130-20-10-0
Maxim Grigoryev21000010−50-00-01-2
Team2008024251171621+528-5410-2014-18

Zalgiris Kaunas

PlayerMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVPF+/-FG3PFT
Justin Dentmon *31155112062−14-113-64-4
Vytenis Lipkevicius *2810421032−134-62-20-0
Paulius Jankunas *268242002−23-51-21-1
Robertas Javtokas *2516430014−37-100-12-2
Tomas Dimsa *183210013−21-61-40-0
Martynas Pocius162500023+61-70-40-0
Mindaugas Kupsas156200014−23-60-00-2
Ksistof Lavrinovic148310010−33-51-11-1
Vytenis Cizauskas125121013−122-41-10-0
Arturas Milaknis92100021+131-10-00-0
Kaspars Vecvagars60000000−60-00-00-0
Team200752924601824−529-619-218-10

* Starter. The team's +/- is its final margin. Scores read away–home.

Win probability

The home team's chance of winning at each point of the game, from the pre-game forecast at tip-off to the result at the final buzzer. Hover or tap the line to read a point.

100%50%0%Q1Q2Q3Q4

Home at the top. Vertical rules mark the quarters and any overtime. Model: WP v1, the in-game win-probability model, with its card and results on GitHub.

Biggest swings

  1. Q4 01:27Three-point make, Lokomotiv Kuban Krasnodar+27.4 pp for Lokomotiv Kuban Krasnodar75–78
  2. Q4 02:46Three-point make, Lokomotiv Kuban Krasnodar+22.2 pp for Lokomotiv Kuban Krasnodar75–72
  3. Q4 02:09Two-point make, Lokomotiv Kuban Krasnodar+19.7 pp for Lokomotiv Kuban Krasnodar75–74
  4. Q4 06:32Three-point make, Zalgiris Kaunas+15.4 pp for Zalgiris Kaunas71–63
  5. Q4 06:52Three-point make, Lokomotiv Kuban Krasnodar+14.8 pp for Lokomotiv Kuban Krasnodar68–63

Change in win chance at the scoring play, read at the same clock. Scores read away–home after the play. pp is percentage points.

Game control

PartLokomotiv Kuban KrasnodarZalgiris Kaunas
Dominance−0.18+0.18
Control20%65%
Drama2.402.40
Comeback86%98%
Crunch1.071.07

Dominance: the average lead in win chance, from −1 to +1. Control: the share of the game with a win chance above 60%. Drama: the total movement of the line. Comeback: 100% minus the lowest win chance. Crunch: the total movement in the last five minutes of regulation. The 60% and five-minute values are display conventions.

Scoring runs

A scoring run is a stretch of points by one team that the other team does not interrupt. The top three runs of each team, by points, are below.

Lokomotiv Kuban Krasnodar

  1. +13 Q4 03:35 to Q4 00:02 75–67 to 75–80
  2. +7 Q2 05:51 to Q2 04:28 37–21 to 37–28
  3. +5 Q1 06:52 to Q1 06:42 6–4 to 6–9

Zalgiris Kaunas

  1. +6 Q1 06:14 to Q1 05:33 6–9 to 12–9
  2. +6 Q2 08:04 to Q2 06:43 31–21 to 37–21
  3. +5 Q1 04:27 to Q1 03:19 12–11 to 17–11