6.75

2013-14 EuroLeague · Top 16 · Fri, 3 Jan 2014

CSKA Moscow at Lokomotiv Kuban Krasnodar

84–77Final, away–home

Box score

Lokomotiv Kuban Krasnodar

PlayerMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVPF+/-FG3PFT
Marcus Williams *3510581020+13-133-101-2
Mantas Kalnietis *332341023−191-80-20-0
Krunoslav Simon *339230025+83-92-41-1
Derrick Brown *3013210010−236-120-11-2
Aleks Maric *27121013123+65-90-02-4
Valeriy Likhodey2613600013+54-83-62-4
Richard Hendrix187601122−133-40-01-2
Andrey Zubkov1411421003+133-72-33-4
Maxim Grigoryev70300003−40-10-10-0
Simas Jasaitis30000011−90-00-00-0
Team225774119721323−728-7110-2711-19

CSKA Moscow

PlayerMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVPF+/-FG3PFT
Victor Khryapa *3315871013+65-75-60-0
Milos Teodosic *3316541033+24-131-67-8
Sonny Weems *3014450005+16-112-40-0
Nenad Krstic *3011531022+24-80-03-4
Vitaly Fridzon *2815300015−25-83-52-2
Kyle Hines246312012+43-50-00-0
Jeremy Pargo202121012+131-30-10-0
Vladimir Micov203520000+51-61-20-0
Aaron Jackson40000011+20-00-00-0
Andrey Vorontsevich32000000+21-10-00-0
Team225843424601023+730-6212-2412-14

* Starter. The team's +/- is its final margin. Scores read away–home.

Win probability

The home team's chance of winning at each point of the game, from the pre-game forecast at tip-off to the result at the final buzzer. Hover or tap the line to read a point.

100%50%0%Q1Q2Q3Q4OT1

Home at the top. Vertical rules mark the quarters and any overtime. Model: WP v1, the in-game win-probability model, with its card and results on GitHub.

Biggest swings

  1. Q4 00:26Three-point make, Lokomotiv Kuban Krasnodar+33.0 pp for Lokomotiv Kuban Krasnodar71–71
  2. OT1 02:38Three-point make, CSKA Moscow+24.9 pp for CSKA Moscow78–75
  3. Q4 04:37Three-point make, CSKA Moscow+21.0 pp for CSKA Moscow64–62
  4. Q4 01:55Two-point make, Lokomotiv Kuban Krasnodar+19.7 pp for Lokomotiv Kuban Krasnodar68–68
  5. OT1 04:40Three-point make, Lokomotiv Kuban Krasnodar+18.6 pp for Lokomotiv Kuban Krasnodar71–74

Change in win chance at the scoring play, read at the same clock. Scores read away–home after the play. pp is percentage points.

Game control

PartLokomotiv Kuban KrasnodarCSKA Moscow
Dominance−0.26+0.26
Control0%54%
Drama3.263.26
Comeback100%59%
Crunch1.731.73

Dominance: the average lead in win chance, from −1 to +1. Control: the share of the game with a win chance above 60%. Drama: the total movement of the line. Comeback: 100% minus the lowest win chance. Crunch: the total movement in the last five minutes of regulation. The 60% and five-minute values are display conventions.

Scoring runs

A scoring run is a stretch of points by one team that the other team does not interrupt. The top three runs of each team, by points, are below.

Lokomotiv Kuban Krasnodar

  1. +9 Q1 03:33 to Q1 02:19 19–11 to 19–20
  2. +8 Q2 02:29 to Q2 00:53 39–36 to 39–44
  3. +7 Q2 05:42 to Q2 04:45 31–22 to 31–29

CSKA Moscow

  1. +9 Q1 00:20 to Q2 07:46 22–22 to 31–22
  2. +8 Q2 00:06 to Q3 07:21 39–44 to 47–44
  3. +6 Q1 05:06 to Q1 03:48 13–11 to 19–11