6.75

2012-13 EuroLeague · Regular season, round 8 · Fri, 30 Nov 2012

Fenerbahce Tarfin Istanbul at Real Madrid

61–77Final, away–home

Box score

Real Madrid

PlayerMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVPF+/-FG3PFT
Nikola Mirotic *2818621102+47-132-42-4
Rudy Fernandez *247431043+92-81-62-6
Carlos Suarez *234740002+102-40-10-0
Sergio Llull *226121021−52-70-32-4
Mirza Begic *82100200−41-20-00-0
Marcus Slaughter26121005102+156-90-00-0
Jaycee Carroll1810111002+163-91-43-3
Felipe Reyes1710610103+203-61-13-4
Sergio Rodriguez166211031+163-80-40-0
Martynas Pocius90000001−10-10-10-0
Dontaye Draper82130001+31-20-00-0
Rafael Hettsheimeir20010001−30-10-00-0
Team200773918105919+1630-705-2412-21

Fenerbahce Tarfin Istanbul

PlayerMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVPF+/-FG3PFT
Bojan Bogdanovic *3718202222−187-93-41-2
Bo McCalebb *3110110031−42-92-44-4
Emir Preldzic *2710321013−14-100-32-2
Romain Sato *266511033−22-40-22-2
Mike Batiste *247501014−113-71-10-0
David Andersen196600032−122-71-41-2
Omer Onan140200022−140-10-10-0
Ilkan Karaman114002112−32-40-10-2
J.R. Bremer100000011−130-20-10-0
Oguz Savas10000001−20-00-00-0
Team20061244731721−1622-537-2110-14

* Starter. The team's +/- is its final margin. Scores read away–home.

Win probability

The home team's chance of winning at each point of the game, from the pre-game forecast at tip-off to the result at the final buzzer. Hover or tap the line to read a point.

100%50%0%Q1Q2Q3Q4

Home at the top. Vertical rules mark the quarters and any overtime. Model: WP v1, the in-game win-probability model, with its card and results on GitHub.

Biggest swings

  1. Q3 03:19Three-point make, Fenerbahce Tarfin Istanbul+10.4 pp for Fenerbahce Tarfin Istanbul49–45
  2. Q3 05:37Three-point make, Fenerbahce Tarfin Istanbul+9.4 pp for Fenerbahce Tarfin Istanbul46–43
  3. Q3 07:45Three-point make, Real Madrid+9.3 pp for Real Madrid43–43
  4. Q3 01:40Two-point make, Real Madrid+8.6 pp for Real Madrid51–51
  5. Q4 08:45Three-point make, Real Madrid+8.3 pp for Real Madrid52–59

Change in win chance at the scoring play, read at the same clock. Scores read away–home after the play. pp is percentage points.

Game control

PartReal MadridFenerbahce Tarfin Istanbul
Dominance+0.50−0.50
Control95%0%
Drama1.261.26
Comeback43%100%
Crunch0.000.00

Dominance: the average lead in win chance, from −1 to +1. Control: the share of the game with a win chance above 60%. Drama: the total movement of the line. Comeback: 100% minus the lowest win chance. Crunch: the total movement in the last five minutes of regulation. The 60% and five-minute values are display conventions.

Scoring runs

A scoring run is a stretch of points by one team that the other team does not interrupt. The top three runs of each team, by points, are below.

Real Madrid

  1. +12 Q3 00:17 to Q4 07:13 52–52 to 52–64
  2. +9 Q4 05:27 to Q4 02:26 56–66 to 56–75
  3. +5 Q2 07:20 to Q2 06:28 28–20 to 28–25

Fenerbahce Tarfin Istanbul

  1. +5 Q1 04:31 to Q1 03:48 9–8 to 14–8
  2. +5 Q2 09:38 to Q2 09:05 19–16 to 24–16
  3. +4 Q1 08:29 to Q1 07:49 0–2 to 4–2