6.75

2012-13 EuroLeague · Regular season, round 6 · Thu, 15 Nov 2012

CSKA Moscow at Lietuvos Rytas Vilnius

71–62Final, away–home

Box score

Lietuvos Rytas Vilnius

PlayerMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVPF+/-FG3PFT
Renaldas Seibutis *2711321002−25-101-20-0
Mindaugas Katelynas *271330010004-101-24-6
Nemanja Nedovic *222420022−31-90-20-2
Simas Buterlevicius *120201002−50-30-20-0
Predrag Samardziski *90110203+10-10-00-0
Leon Radosevic2817412030−107-120-03-4
Steponas Babrauskas208220005−62-62-42-2
Dovydas Redikas183210011−61-20-01-2
Dejan Ivanov156402000−92-40-02-2
Deividas Dulkys152210002−31-20-10-0
Arturas Jomantas60001001−20-00-00-0
Team20062271073618−923-594-1312-18

CSKA Moscow

PlayerMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVPF+/-FG3PFT
Sonny Weems *3619621023+129-151-30-0
Milos Teodosic *3013220032+85-133-70-0
Victor Khryapa *277951333+93-51-20-0
Sasha Kaun *1811200011+44-60-03-6
Anton Ponkrashov *50220000−20-10-10-0
Vladimir Micov246121003+113-60-20-0
Aaron Jackson194221012+32-40-10-0
Andrey Vorontsevich185600011+22-30-01-1
Nenad Krstic176210024+12-30-02-2
Dionte Christmas70000001−30-10-00-0
Team200713216431320+930-575-166-9

* Starter. The team's +/- is its final margin. Scores read away–home.

Win probability

The home team's chance of winning at each point of the game, from the pre-game forecast at tip-off to the result at the final buzzer. Hover or tap the line to read a point.

100%50%0%Q1Q2Q3Q4

Home at the top. Vertical rules mark the quarters and any overtime. Model: WP v1, the in-game win-probability model, with its card and results on GitHub.

Biggest swings

  1. Q3 02:08Three-point make, CSKA Moscow+10.4 pp for CSKA Moscow49–44
  2. Q3 02:50Three-point make, Lietuvos Rytas Vilnius+9.3 pp for Lietuvos Rytas Vilnius46–44
  3. Q3 03:38Three-point make, Lietuvos Rytas Vilnius+8.9 pp for Lietuvos Rytas Vilnius46–41
  4. Q3 08:31Three-point make, CSKA Moscow+8.0 pp for CSKA Moscow38–34
  5. Q3 01:10Two-point make, CSKA Moscow+7.8 pp for CSKA Moscow51–46

Change in win chance at the scoring play, read at the same clock. Scores read away–home after the play. pp is percentage points.

Game control

PartLietuvos Rytas VilniusCSKA Moscow
Dominance−0.44+0.44
Control0%65%
Drama1.421.42
Comeback100%53%
Crunch0.050.05

Dominance: the average lead in win chance, from −1 to +1. Control: the share of the game with a win chance above 60%. Drama: the total movement of the line. Comeback: 100% minus the lowest win chance. Crunch: the total movement in the last five minutes of regulation. The 60% and five-minute values are display conventions.

Scoring runs

A scoring run is a stretch of points by one team that the other team does not interrupt. The top three runs of each team, by points, are below.

Lietuvos Rytas Vilnius

  1. +8 Q1 06:17 to Q1 05:09 6–0 to 6–8
  2. +6 Q1 02:43 to Q1 01:25 10–10 to 10–16
  3. +6 Q2 08:33 to Q2 07:22 19–18 to 19–24

CSKA Moscow

  1. +8 Q3 06:32 to Q3 04:27 38–38 to 46–38
  2. +6 Q1 09:46 to Q1 06:34 0–0 to 6–0
  3. +6 Q3 01:10 to Q4 09:42 49–46 to 55–46