6.75

2012-13 EuroLeague · Regular season, round 6 · Thu, 15 Nov 2012

Zalgiris Kaunas at Cedevita Zagreb

106–108Final, away–home

Box score

Cedevita Zagreb

PlayerMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVPF+/-FG3PFT
Mickael Gelabale *44231021113+79-160-35-5
Bracey Wright *3920220014−25-134-66-6
Predrag Suput *331854102507-100-04-5
Marques Green *278030021−23-62-40-0
Miro Bilan *163201002−91-10-01-1
Luksa Andric265902015+22-50-11-2
Marko Tomas257211054−52-71-52-2
Vlado Ilievski2416120024+55-64-52-2
Goran Suton128300022+93-40-02-2
Marko Car40100011+60-20-20-0
Jusuf Nurkic00000000−10-00-00-0
Team2501083514611731+237-7011-2623-25

Zalgiris Kaunas

PlayerMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVPF+/-FG3PFT
Tremmell Darden *3710701001−44-80-02-5
Ibrahim Jaaber *368142000−53-91-41-1
Paulius Jankunas *3315611034+76-80-23-4
Darjus Lavrinovic *3224521011−310-150-24-5
Rimantas Kaukenas *2715171024−23-51-28-8
Marko Popovic3119221015+24-112-49-12
Ksistof Lavrinovic226100015+32-50-12-2
Oliver Lafayette145300004+22-71-50-0
Mario Delas70100001−90-10-00-0
Mindaugas Kuzminskas62011010+10-10-12-2
Jeff Foote52000001−11-20-00-0
Adas Juskevicius20100000−10-00-00-0
Team250106281780926−235-725-2131-39

* Starter. The team's +/- is its final margin. Scores read away–home.

Win probability

The home team's chance of winning at each point of the game, from the pre-game forecast at tip-off to the result at the final buzzer. Hover or tap the line to read a point.

100%50%0%Q1Q2Q3Q4OT1OT2

Home at the top. Vertical rules mark the quarters and any overtime. Model: WP v1, the in-game win-probability model, with its card and results on GitHub.

Biggest swings

  1. Q4 01:00Three-point make, Cedevita Zagreb+37.4 pp for Cedevita Zagreb85–85
  2. Q4 00:15Two-point make, Cedevita Zagreb+29.1 pp for Cedevita Zagreb82–82
  3. OT1 00:06Two-point make, Cedevita Zagreb+28.9 pp for Cedevita Zagreb100–100
  4. OT1 01:01Two-point make, Zalgiris Kaunas+27.6 pp for Zalgiris Kaunas94–93
  5. OT1 00:12Three-point make, Cedevita Zagreb+27.1 pp for Cedevita Zagreb99–98

Change in win chance at the scoring play, read at the same clock. Scores read away–home after the play. pp is percentage points.

Game control

PartCedevita ZagrebZalgiris Kaunas
Dominance+0.04−0.04
Control27%15%
Drama3.723.72
Comeback76%81%
Crunch2.172.17

Dominance: the average lead in win chance, from −1 to +1. Control: the share of the game with a win chance above 60%. Drama: the total movement of the line. Comeback: 100% minus the lowest win chance. Crunch: the total movement in the last five minutes of regulation. The 60% and five-minute values are display conventions.

Scoring runs

A scoring run is a stretch of points by one team that the other team does not interrupt. The top three runs of each team, by points, are below.

Cedevita Zagreb

  1. +8 Q3 07:10 to Q3 06:01 46–41 to 46–49
  2. +7 Q3 04:55 to Q3 03:47 50–49 to 50–56
  3. +5 Q1 08:04 to Q1 07:34 5–2 to 5–7

Zalgiris Kaunas

  1. +10 Q1 03:28 to Q1 00:36 16–17 to 26–17
  2. +7 Q4 03:15 to Q4 00:46 75–80 to 82–80
  3. +6 Q2 00:38 to Q3 08:22 38–39 to 44–39