6.75

2012-13 EuroLeague · Regular season, round 4 · Thu, 1 Nov 2012

Armani Olimpia Milan at Zalgiris Kaunas

87–92Final, away–home

Box score

Zalgiris Kaunas

PlayerMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVPF+/-FG3PFT
Tremmell Darden *309200003+84-70-01-2
Paulius Jankunas *26950202504-60-01-1
Oliver Lafayette *1617330023+26-83-32-2
Darjus Lavrinovic *149211115+52-41-34-6
Rimantas Kaukenas *147010021+53-51-10-0
Marko Popovic279120120+24-100-51-1
Ksistof Lavrinovic2610410011+52-31-25-6
Ibrahim Jaaber2111541002+104-51-22-2
Jeff Foote112400000−21-30-00-0
Mindaugas Kuzminskas97200001−82-30-03-4
Adas Juskevicius42100010−20-00-02-2
Mario Delas2010000000-00-00-0
Team200923012421121+532-547-1621-26

Armani Olimpia Milan

PlayerMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVPF+/-FG3PFT
Keith Langford *3524222012−48-153-85-7
Antonis Fotsis *3111410003−184-73-60-0
Omar Cook *296491013−102-61-41-2
Malik Hairston *2821330014−17-112-25-9
Ioannis Bourousis *196210023−23-60-00-0
Alessandro Gentile2211220114−24-103-50-0
Nicolo Melli145320002+92-41-20-1
Richard Hendrix83311002+21-50-01-2
David Chiotti70100012+10-00-00-0
Rok Stipcevic6010100100-10-10-0
Team20087252151726−531-6513-2812-21

* Starter. The team's +/- is its final margin. Scores read away–home.

Win probability

The home team's chance of winning at each point of the game, from the pre-game forecast at tip-off to the result at the final buzzer. Hover or tap the line to read a point.

100%50%0%Q1Q2Q3Q4

Home at the top. Vertical rules mark the quarters and any overtime. Model: WP v1, the in-game win-probability model, with its card and results on GitHub.

Biggest swings

  1. Q4 05:17Three-point make, Armani Olimpia Milan+17.4 pp for Armani Olimpia Milan80–78
  2. Q4 03:07Three-point make, Zalgiris Kaunas+16.1 pp for Zalgiris Kaunas82–87
  3. Q4 04:05Two-point make, Armani Olimpia Milan+14.6 pp for Armani Olimpia Milan82–82
  4. Q4 03:45Two-point make, Zalgiris Kaunas+14.6 pp for Zalgiris Kaunas82–84
  5. Q4 07:41Three-point make, Armani Olimpia Milan+13.5 pp for Armani Olimpia Milan73–74

Change in win chance at the scoring play, read at the same clock. Scores read away–home after the play. pp is percentage points.

Game control

PartZalgiris KaunasArmani Olimpia Milan
Dominance+0.20−0.20
Control35%3%
Drama2.402.40
Comeback61%98%
Crunch1.101.10

Dominance: the average lead in win chance, from −1 to +1. Control: the share of the game with a win chance above 60%. Drama: the total movement of the line. Comeback: 100% minus the lowest win chance. Crunch: the total movement in the last five minutes of regulation. The 60% and five-minute values are display conventions.

Scoring runs

A scoring run is a stretch of points by one team that the other team does not interrupt. The top three runs of each team, by points, are below.

Zalgiris Kaunas

  1. +10 Q3 08:05 to Q3 05:41 54–47 to 54–57
  2. +7 Q2 08:21 to Q2 06:21 32–22 to 32–29
  3. +6 Q2 02:22 to Q2 01:09 48–40 to 48–46

Armani Olimpia Milan

  1. +10 Q1 08:11 to Q1 06:38 3–6 to 13–6
  2. +6 Q1 00:01 to Q2 09:10 24–20 to 30–20
  3. +5 Q4 10:00 to Q4 08:22 65–72 to 70–72