6.75

2012-13 EuroLeague · Regular season, round 3 · Thu, 25 Oct 2012

Kosner Baskonia Vitoria-Gasteiz at Armani Olimpia Milan

95–85Final, away–home

Box score

Armani Olimpia Milan

PlayerMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVPF+/-FG3PFT
Omar Cook *313253003−111-41-40-0
Keith Langford *2913020021−64-111-34-4
Malik Hairston *2819200004−18-133-30-1
Ioannis Bourousis *23221100034−19-120-04-5
Antonis Fotsis *223410003−51-41-10-0
Nicolo Melli197320002−93-71-30-1
Alessandro Gentile1210010033−23-60-34-5
Richard Hendrix124200014−102-40-00-0
Gianluca Basile100020001−90-10-10-0
Rok Stipcevic93000003+11-20-11-1
David Chiotti41001000+30-00-01-2
Team20085241340928−1032-647-1914-19

Kosner Baskonia Vitoria-Gasteiz

PlayerMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVPF+/-FG3PFT
Nemanja Bjelica *3220911013+88-132-32-2
Maciej Lampe *2512520003+75-101-41-2
Thomas Heurtel *185110010+142-51-10-0
Andres Nocioni *1612211011−72-40-18-8
Brad Oleson *8711000502-21-12-2
Fernando San Emeterio3518562011+155-101-47-10
Fabien Causeur292120014+121-40-10-0
Carlos Cabezas2211310032−22-21-16-6
Milko Bjelica106110004+132-51-21-2
Edu Hernandez-Sonseca62000000−101-20-00-0
Team20095281640823+1030-578-1827-32

* Starter. The team's +/- is its final margin. Scores read away–home.

Win probability

The home team's chance of winning at each point of the game, from the pre-game forecast at tip-off to the result at the final buzzer. Hover or tap the line to read a point.

100%50%0%Q1Q2Q3Q4

Home at the top. Vertical rules mark the quarters and any overtime. Model: WP v1, the in-game win-probability model, with its card and results on GitHub.

Biggest swings

  1. Q4 06:05Three-point make, Kosner Baskonia Vitoria-Gasteiz+18.2 pp for Kosner Baskonia Vitoria-Gasteiz75–71
  2. Q4 08:45Three-point make, Kosner Baskonia Vitoria-Gasteiz+12.1 pp for Kosner Baskonia Vitoria-Gasteiz70–69
  3. Q4 09:05Three-point make, Armani Olimpia Milan+11.6 pp for Armani Olimpia Milan67–69
  4. Q3 08:48Three-point make, Kosner Baskonia Vitoria-Gasteiz+9.5 pp for Kosner Baskonia Vitoria-Gasteiz46–48
  5. Q3 00:44Two-point make, Armani Olimpia Milan+9.3 pp for Armani Olimpia Milan64–63

Change in win chance at the scoring play, read at the same clock. Scores read away–home after the play. pp is percentage points.

Game control

PartArmani Olimpia MilanKosner Baskonia Vitoria-Gasteiz
Dominance+0.09−0.09
Control58%18%
Drama2.352.35
Comeback100%77%
Crunch0.360.36

Dominance: the average lead in win chance, from −1 to +1. Control: the share of the game with a win chance above 60%. Drama: the total movement of the line. Comeback: 100% minus the lowest win chance. Crunch: the total movement in the last five minutes of regulation. The 60% and five-minute values are display conventions.

Scoring runs

A scoring run is a stretch of points by one team that the other team does not interrupt. The top three runs of each team, by points, are below.

Armani Olimpia Milan

  1. +12 Q2 07:37 to Q2 04:31 24–23 to 24–35
  2. +6 Q2 00:03 to Q3 09:07 43–42 to 43–48
  3. +5 Q1 08:19 to Q1 07:49 2–2 to 2–7

Kosner Baskonia Vitoria-Gasteiz

  1. +11 Q4 06:48 to Q4 04:11 70–71 to 81–71
  2. +7 Q1 05:32 to Q1 03:07 8–10 to 15–10
  3. +7 Q2 00:34 to Q2 00:13 36–42 to 43–42