6.75

2012-13 EuroLeague · Regular season, round 3 · Thu, 25 Oct 2012

Real Madrid at Fenerbahce Tarfin Istanbul

83–75Final, away–home

Box score

Fenerbahce Tarfin Istanbul

PlayerMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVPF+/-FG3PFT
Bo McCalebb *2912413031−135-100-22-2
Omer Onan *2614200023−145-94-70-1
Romain Sato *244321014−32-40-20-2
Mike Batiste *152100000−141-30-10-0
Oguz Savas *12511102301-30-13-3
David Andersen231322002105-82-31-1
Emir Preldzic231216103005-50-02-2
Bojan Bogdanovic165020020+51-40-23-3
Ilkan Karaman154211100+22-50-10-0
J.R. Bremer112210010+50-20-12-2
Kaya Peker42000100−81-10-00-0
Team200751816721612−828-546-2013-16

Real Madrid

PlayerMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVPF+/-FG3PFT
Rudy Fernandez *3021253120+168-123-52-2
Nikola Mirotic *269621123+94-131-60-0
Mirza Begic *1614611012+107-80-00-0
Dontaye Draper *152243012+51-30-00-2
Carlos Suarez *140100022+60-10-00-0
Sergio Rodriguez2512463033+35-102-40-0
Marcus Slaughter246511113−23-60-00-0
Jaycee Carroll2315120001+26-123-60-0
Felipe Reyes144001034−12-30-00-0
Martynas Pocius130200002−80-00-00-0
Team2008329211331522+836-689-212-4

* Starter. The team's +/- is its final margin. Scores read away–home.

Win probability

The home team's chance of winning at each point of the game, from the pre-game forecast at tip-off to the result at the final buzzer. Hover or tap the line to read a point.

100%50%0%Q1Q2Q3Q4

Home at the top. Vertical rules mark the quarters and any overtime. Model: WP v1, the in-game win-probability model, with its card and results on GitHub.

Biggest swings

  1. Q4 06:54Three-point make, Real Madrid+15.8 pp for Real Madrid69–64
  2. Q4 07:56Three-point make, Fenerbahce Tarfin Istanbul+11.0 pp for Fenerbahce Tarfin Istanbul66–62
  3. Q4 07:00Two-point make, Fenerbahce Tarfin Istanbul+10.5 pp for Fenerbahce Tarfin Istanbul69–66
  4. Q4 07:39Two-point make, Fenerbahce Tarfin Istanbul+10.3 pp for Fenerbahce Tarfin Istanbul66–64
  5. Q3 02:38Three-point make, Real Madrid+10.0 pp for Real Madrid59–52

Change in win chance at the scoring play, read at the same clock. Scores read away–home after the play. pp is percentage points.

Game control

PartFenerbahce Tarfin IstanbulReal Madrid
Dominance−0.41+0.41
Control0%78%
Drama2.342.34
Comeback100%57%
Crunch0.270.27

Dominance: the average lead in win chance, from −1 to +1. Control: the share of the game with a win chance above 60%. Drama: the total movement of the line. Comeback: 100% minus the lowest win chance. Crunch: the total movement in the last five minutes of regulation. The 60% and five-minute values are display conventions.

Scoring runs

A scoring run is a stretch of points by one team that the other team does not interrupt. The top three runs of each team, by points, are below.

Fenerbahce Tarfin Istanbul

  1. +11 Q3 05:59 to Q3 03:30 56–41 to 56–52
  2. +7 Q4 08:17 to Q4 07:39 66–57 to 66–64
  3. +5 Q2 04:48 to Q2 04:20 31–24 to 31–29

Real Madrid

  1. +9 Q2 04:01 to Q2 01:44 31–29 to 40–29
  2. +8 Q3 07:05 to Q3 06:12 48–41 to 56–41
  3. +6 Q1 06:24 to Q1 05:36 2–4 to 8–4