2012-13 EuroLeague · Top 16 · Thu, 28 Mar 2013
Real Madrid at CSKA Moscow
72–81Final, away–home
Box score
CSKA Moscow
| Player | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TOV | PF | +/- | FG | 3P | FT |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sonny Weems * | 34 | 21 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | +6 | 8-16 | 1-5 | 4-5 |
| Milos Teodosic * | 33 | 17 | 4 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | +5 | 7-14 | 1-4 | 2-4 |
| Victor Khryapa * | 32 | 6 | 11 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 4 | +10 | 3-4 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| Sasha Kaun * | 21 | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4 | +2 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Zoran Erceg * | 12 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | +8 | 1-4 | 1-2 | 0-0 |
| Nenad Krstic | 24 | 16 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | +4 | 6-9 | 0-0 | 4-5 |
| Vladimir Micov | 18 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | +4 | 0-5 | 0-2 | 0-0 |
| Aaron Jackson | 16 | 8 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | +3 | 4-5 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| Theodoros Papaloukas | 9 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 2-2 |
| Andrey Vorontsevich | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | +3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Team | 200 | 81 | 33 | 19 | 4 | 2 | 12 | 22 | +9 | 33-62 | 3-15 | 12-16 |
Real Madrid
| Player | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TOV | PF | +/- | FG | 3P | FT |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rudy Fernandez * | 31 | 24 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | −10 | 8-11 | 6-8 | 2-4 |
| Carlos Suarez * | 24 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −7 | 2-4 | 2-4 | 0-0 |
| Sergio Llull * | 21 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | −15 | 0-5 | 0-3 | 0-0 |
| Mirza Begic * | 16 | 5 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | −8 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 1-2 |
| Nikola Mirotic * | 16 | 5 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 3 | +3 | 2-5 | 0-1 | 1-1 |
| Felipe Reyes | 23 | 10 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 5 | −1 | 3-5 | 0-1 | 4-7 |
| Sergio Rodriguez | 20 | 7 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 2-8 | 0-3 | 3-4 |
| Jaycee Carroll | 20 | 7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | +3 | 3-11 | 1-3 | 0-0 |
| Marcus Slaughter | 19 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | −5 | 4-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Rafael Hettsheimeir | 6 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | −7 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| Dontaye Draper | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | +2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Team | 200 | 72 | 33 | 16 | 6 | 5 | 12 | 22 | −9 | 26-61 | 9-24 | 11-18 |
* Starter. The team's +/- is its final margin. Scores read away–home.
Win probability
The home team's chance of winning at each point of the game, from the pre-game forecast at tip-off to the result at the final buzzer. Hover or tap the line to read a point.
Home at the top. Vertical rules mark the quarters and any overtime. Model: WP v1, the in-game win-probability model, with its card and results on GitHub.
Biggest swings
- Q1 08:52Three-point make, Real Madrid+5.2 pp for Real Madrid3–4
- Q3 03:52Three-point make, Real Madrid+5.0 pp for Real Madrid42–51
- Q1 03:39Three-point make, Real Madrid+4.7 pp for Real Madrid9–17
- Q2 05:54Two-point make, CSKA Moscow+4.3 pp for CSKA Moscow19–30
- Q1 08:31Two-point make, CSKA Moscow+4.2 pp for CSKA Moscow3–6
Change in win chance at the scoring play, read at the same clock. Scores read away–home after the play. pp is percentage points.
Game control
| Part | CSKA Moscow | Real Madrid |
|---|---|---|
| Dominance | +0.81 | −0.81 |
| Control | 100% | 0% |
| Drama | 0.66 | 0.66 |
| Comeback | 26% | 100% |
| Crunch | 0.06 | 0.06 |
Dominance: the average lead in win chance, from −1 to +1. Control: the share of the game with a win chance above 60%. Drama: the total movement of the line. Comeback: 100% minus the lowest win chance. Crunch: the total movement in the last five minutes of regulation. The 60% and five-minute values are display conventions.
Scoring runs
A scoring run is a stretch of points by one team that the other team does not interrupt. The top three runs of each team, by points, are below.
CSKA Moscow
- +8 Q2 05:54 to Q2 03:04 19–28 to 19–36
- +7 Q1 08:31 to Q1 06:46 3–4 to 3–11
- +6 Q1 05:07 to Q1 04:02 6–11 to 6–17
Real Madrid
- +9 Q3 08:45 to Q3 06:10 28–47 to 37–47
- +5 Q4 04:50 to Q4 02:58 58–72 to 63–72
- +4 Q1 00:59 to Q1 00:17 11–22 to 15–22