6.75

2012-13 EuroLeague · Top 16 · Thu, 21 Mar 2013

Anadolu Efes Istanbul at Zalgiris Kaunas

71–79Final, away–home

Box score

Zalgiris Kaunas

PlayerMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVPF+/-FG3PFT
Mindaugas Kuzminskas *3215601022+144-60-17-8
Ksistof Lavrinovic *244310121−62-70-10-0
Donald McGrath *195112021+121-51-42-2
Rimantas Kaukenas *189211124+142-20-05-6
Robertas Javtokas *84210002−62-30-00-0
Oliver Lafayette276550012−22-111-71-1
Darjus Lavrinovic2124510111+610-123-41-3
Mario Delas174310021+131-31-11-2
Vytenis Lipkevicius172011001−71-30-00-2
Adas Juskevicius90020000−60-00-00-0
Jeff Foote76301000+82-20-02-2
Team200793014631215+827-546-1819-26

Anadolu Efes Istanbul

PlayerMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVPF+/-FG3PFT
Jamon-Alfred Lucas *3414732024+26-131-31-1
Jordan Farmar *2612434041−164-90-44-4
Semih Erden *2213501112−174-50-05-6
Joshua Shipp *193100004−91-51-30-0
Dusko Savanovic *1811111010−114-111-52-2
Kerem Gonlum224410013+32-40-00-0
Dogus Balbay182230012+40-20-12-2
Stanko Barac186600103+93-70-00-0
Kerem Tunceri146100023+22-42-40-0
Sinan Guler90020011−70-20-10-0
Team200713113821323−826-625-2114-15

* Starter. The team's +/- is its final margin. Scores read away–home.

Win probability

The home team's chance of winning at each point of the game, from the pre-game forecast at tip-off to the result at the final buzzer. Hover or tap the line to read a point.

100%50%0%Q1Q2Q3Q4

Home at the top. Vertical rules mark the quarters and any overtime. Model: WP v1, the in-game win-probability model, with its card and results on GitHub.

Biggest swings

  1. Q2 00:30Three-point make, Zalgiris Kaunas+9.3 pp for Zalgiris Kaunas42–44
  2. Q2 02:06Three-point make, Anadolu Efes Istanbul+8.4 pp for Anadolu Efes Istanbul42–37
  3. Q2 01:45Two-point make, Zalgiris Kaunas+7.8 pp for Zalgiris Kaunas42–39
  4. Q2 07:28Two-point make, Anadolu Efes Istanbul+7.0 pp for Anadolu Efes Istanbul32–26
  5. Q2 05:51Three-point make, Anadolu Efes Istanbul+6.7 pp for Anadolu Efes Istanbul35–28

Change in win chance at the scoring play, read at the same clock. Scores read away–home after the play. pp is percentage points.

Game control

PartZalgiris KaunasAnadolu Efes Istanbul
Dominance+0.48−0.48
Control58%0%
Drama1.301.30
Comeback53%100%
Crunch0.200.20

Dominance: the average lead in win chance, from −1 to +1. Control: the share of the game with a win chance above 60%. Drama: the total movement of the line. Comeback: 100% minus the lowest win chance. Crunch: the total movement in the last five minutes of regulation. The 60% and five-minute values are display conventions.

Scoring runs

A scoring run is a stretch of points by one team that the other team does not interrupt. The top three runs of each team, by points, are below.

Zalgiris Kaunas

  1. +10 Q2 01:45 to Q3 09:44 42–37 to 42–47
  2. +10 Q3 09:19 to Q3 07:27 43–47 to 43–57
  3. +5 Q2 05:28 to Q2 04:45 35–28 to 35–33

Anadolu Efes Istanbul

  1. +8 Q3 05:00 to Q3 00:08 48–63 to 56–63
  2. +6 Q1 03:30 to Q1 02:02 17–18 to 23–18
  3. +5 Q1 05:12 to Q1 04:57 12–14 to 17–14