6.75

2012-13 EuroLeague · Regular season, round 2 · Fri, 19 Oct 2012

Zalgiris Kaunas at Kosner Baskonia Vitoria-Gasteiz

77–71Final, away–home

Box score

Kosner Baskonia Vitoria-Gasteiz

PlayerMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVPF+/-FG3PFT
Brad Oleson *3913320104−24-94-71-1
Maciej Lampe *3712410012−45-100-22-2
Andres Nocioni *2613300024−73-60-27-8
Thomas Heurtel *258341011+43-62-30-0
Nemanja Bjelica *196201011+22-60-22-2
Fernando San Emeterio249630011−33-90-43-3
Carlos Cabezas164110001−102-30-10-0
Milko Bjelica166210022−62-60-12-2
Fabien Causeur20000014−40-00-00-0
Team20571241221920−624-556-2217-18

Zalgiris Kaunas

PlayerMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVPF+/-FG3PFT
Tremmell Darden *2917500113+38-101-30-0
Paulius Jankunas *297500023+22-61-22-2
Oliver Lafayette *271241202004-112-62-2
Rimantas Kaukenas *2315120003+37-111-20-0
Ksistof Lavrinovic *170110012−110-50-20-0
Marko Popovic2611400012+103-91-44-4
Darjus Lavrinovic2310441001+133-32-22-2
Mario Delas120010012+60-10-00-0
Adas Juskevicius73400002+71-10-01-3
Ibrahim Jaaber60111010−10-10-10-0
Mindaugas Kuzminskas52100002−21-20-10-0
Team20577301041920+629-608-2311-13

* Starter. The team's +/- is its final margin. Scores read away–home.

Win probability

The home team's chance of winning at each point of the game, from the pre-game forecast at tip-off to the result at the final buzzer. Hover or tap the line to read a point.

100%50%0%Q1Q2Q3Q4

Home at the top. Vertical rules mark the quarters and any overtime. Model: WP v1, the in-game win-probability model, with its card and results on GitHub.

Biggest swings

  1. Q4 00:33Two-point make, Zalgiris Kaunas+23.1 pp for Zalgiris Kaunas75–71
  2. Q4 01:07Two-point make, Kosner Baskonia Vitoria-Gasteiz+17.2 pp for Kosner Baskonia Vitoria-Gasteiz73–70
  3. Q4 07:52Three-point make, Kosner Baskonia Vitoria-Gasteiz+15.6 pp for Kosner Baskonia Vitoria-Gasteiz61–57
  4. Q4 03:47Three-point make, Zalgiris Kaunas+14.8 pp for Zalgiris Kaunas71–62
  5. Q4 06:50Three-point make, Zalgiris Kaunas+14.3 pp for Zalgiris Kaunas64–58

Change in win chance at the scoring play, read at the same clock. Scores read away–home after the play. pp is percentage points.

Game control

PartKosner Baskonia Vitoria-GasteizZalgiris Kaunas
Dominance+0.02−0.02
Control43%28%
Drama2.652.65
Comeback98%84%
Crunch1.241.24

Dominance: the average lead in win chance, from −1 to +1. Control: the share of the game with a win chance above 60%. Drama: the total movement of the line. Comeback: 100% minus the lowest win chance. Crunch: the total movement in the last five minutes of regulation. The 60% and five-minute values are display conventions.

Scoring runs

A scoring run is a stretch of points by one team that the other team does not interrupt. The top three runs of each team, by points, are below.

Kosner Baskonia Vitoria-Gasteiz

  1. +8 Q1 08:39 to Q1 07:24 4–2 to 4–10
  2. +7 Q4 08:45 to Q4 07:52 61–51 to 61–58
  3. +7 Q4 02:28 to Q4 00:59 73–64 to 73–71

Zalgiris Kaunas

  1. +9 Q3 06:25 to Q3 03:33 46–41 to 55–41
  2. +8 Q1 02:45 to Q1 01:10 15–20 to 23–20
  3. +7 Q4 05:04 to Q4 03:47 64–62 to 71–62