6.75

2012-13 EuroLeague · Top 16 · Thu, 21 Mar 2013

Panathinaikos AKTOR Athens at Real Madrid

74–73Final, away–home

Box score

Real Madrid

PlayerMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVPF+/-FG3PFT
Nikola Mirotic *2917300013−13-50-111-12
Rudy Fernandez *2717123145+14-111-68-8
Sergio Llull *277110005−32-71-32-4
Mirza Begic *179500123−23-30-03-7
Carlos Suarez *163100001+21-30-11-2
Jaycee Carroll224312002−22-60-30-0
Felipe Reyes206900012+33-80-00-0
Sergio Rodriguez191031102104-80-32-2
Dontaye Draper80000020−30-00-00-0
Marcus Slaughter80110012+10-00-00-0
Rafael Hettsheimeir70200012−10-00-00-0
Team20073296621426−122-512-1727-35

Panathinaikos AKTOR Athens

PlayerMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVPF+/-FG3PFT
Dimitris Diamantidis *3514381134+75-82-52-6
Roko Ukic *3512610034+35-112-40-0
Jonas Maciulis *164310012+21-41-31-2
James Gist *134110014−72-20-00-2
Gaios Skordilis *62100001−31-10-00-0
Stephane Lasme2510500124−24-60-02-2
Kostas Tsartsaris2416111024+95-62-34-6
Michael Bramos243302013+31-51-40-0
Sofoklis Schortsanitis126100044+51-20-04-5
Marcus Banks93000011−81-41-40-0
Vasilis Xanthopoulos30000001−40-00-00-0
Team200742412421832+126-499-2313-23

* Starter. The team's +/- is its final margin. Scores read away–home.

Win probability

The home team's chance of winning at each point of the game, from the pre-game forecast at tip-off to the result at the final buzzer. Hover or tap the line to read a point.

100%50%0%Q1Q2Q3Q4

Home at the top. Vertical rules mark the quarters and any overtime. Model: WP v1, the in-game win-probability model, with its card and results on GitHub.

Biggest swings

  1. Q4 01:08Two-point make, Real Madrid+25.8 pp for Real Madrid68–67
  2. Q4 02:47Three-point make, Panathinaikos AKTOR Athens+22.7 pp for Panathinaikos AKTOR Athens64–63
  3. Q4 01:59Two-point make, Panathinaikos AKTOR Athens+21.6 pp for Panathinaikos AKTOR Athens66–63
  4. Q4 00:41Free throw, Panathinaikos AKTOR Athens+15.6 pp for Panathinaikos AKTOR Athens69–67
  5. Q4 00:05Free throw, Real Madrid+15.6 pp for Real Madrid74–73

Change in win chance at the scoring play, read at the same clock. Scores read away–home after the play. pp is percentage points.

Game control

PartReal MadridPanathinaikos AKTOR Athens
Dominance+0.33−0.33
Control78%0%
Drama2.142.14
Comeback51%91%
Crunch2.842.84

Dominance: the average lead in win chance, from −1 to +1. Control: the share of the game with a win chance above 60%. Drama: the total movement of the line. Comeback: 100% minus the lowest win chance. Crunch: the total movement in the last five minutes of regulation. The 60% and five-minute values are display conventions.

Scoring runs

A scoring run is a stretch of points by one team that the other team does not interrupt. The top three runs of each team, by points, are below.

Real Madrid

  1. +8 Q3 02:28 to Q3 00:31 46–45 to 46–53
  2. +6 Q4 06:49 to Q4 05:07 58–57 to 58–63
  3. +5 Q3 09:37 to Q3 08:12 38–33 to 38–38

Panathinaikos AKTOR Athens

  1. +9 Q1 03:42 to Q1 00:37 8–12 to 17–12
  2. +8 Q2 02:29 to Q2 00:56 28–29 to 36–29
  3. +8 Q4 03:34 to Q4 01:59 58–63 to 66–63