6.75

2012-13 EuroLeague · Top 16 · Fri, 15 Mar 2013

Unicaja Malaga at Real Madrid

77–74Final, away–home

Box score

Real Madrid

PlayerMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVPF+/-FG3PFT
Sergio Llull *309110033−74-81-30-0
Sergio Rodriguez *2817362014+87-161-42-2
Carlos Suarez *193311001−111-30-21-2
Rafael Hettsheimeir *146201022−92-30-12-2
Mirza Begic *114410001−32-30-00-0
Nikola Mirotic2612810021+44-101-63-3
Marcus Slaughter257302213+63-30-01-2
Jaycee Carroll2110110013−13-72-52-2
Felipe Reyes196401005+92-70-02-2
Dontaye Draper130010001−110-30-20-0
Team205742912721024−328-635-2313-15

Unicaja Malaga

PlayerMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVPF+/-FG3PFT
Luka Zoric *3521120222307-100-07-8
Krunoslav Simon *3018522032+156-113-63-4
Earl Calloway *289121043+113-61-22-2
Txemi Urtasun *184020001−91-30-12-4
Fran Vazquez *1710200103+15-60-00-0
Marcus Williams213120013−141-61-20-2
Andy Panko193110015+151-41-30-0
Sergi Vidal160120031−90-10-10-0
Zoran Dragic100100003+150-30-30-0
Augusto Cesar Lima62000000−121-20-00-0
Kosta Perovic57300010+23-30-01-1
Team205772711531524+328-556-1815-21

* Starter. The team's +/- is its final margin. Scores read away–home.

Win probability

The home team's chance of winning at each point of the game, from the pre-game forecast at tip-off to the result at the final buzzer. Hover or tap the line to read a point.

100%50%0%Q1Q2Q3Q4

Home at the top. Vertical rules mark the quarters and any overtime. Model: WP v1, the in-game win-probability model, with its card and results on GitHub.

Biggest swings

  1. Q4 00:07Three-point make, Real Madrid+26.3 pp for Real Madrid77–74
  2. Q4 00:38Two-point make, Unicaja Malaga+26.1 pp for Unicaja Malaga73–69
  3. Q4 00:28Two-point make, Real Madrid+26.1 pp for Real Madrid73–71
  4. Q4 02:54Three-point make, Unicaja Malaga+24.8 pp for Unicaja Malaga71–67
  5. Q4 03:31Three-point make, Real Madrid+21.8 pp for Real Madrid68–67

Change in win chance at the scoring play, read at the same clock. Scores read away–home after the play. pp is percentage points.

Game control

PartReal MadridUnicaja Malaga
Dominance+0.39−0.39
Control68%10%
Drama2.562.56
Comeback78%94%
Crunch2.052.05

Dominance: the average lead in win chance, from −1 to +1. Control: the share of the game with a win chance above 60%. Drama: the total movement of the line. Comeback: 100% minus the lowest win chance. Crunch: the total movement in the last five minutes of regulation. The 60% and five-minute values are display conventions.

Scoring runs

A scoring run is a stretch of points by one team that the other team does not interrupt. The top three runs of each team, by points, are below.

Real Madrid

  1. +8 Q1 06:05 to Q1 02:55 11–4 to 11–12
  2. +8 Q4 06:56 to Q4 05:31 66–55 to 66–63
  3. +7 Q1 03:00 to Q1 01:04 13–12 to 13–19

Unicaja Malaga

  1. +15 Q3 09:01 to Q3 03:12 34–42 to 49–42
  2. +6 Q4 09:25 to Q4 08:05 60–55 to 66–55
  3. +5 Q1 07:10 to Q1 06:48 6–4 to 11–4