6.75

2012-13 EuroLeague · Regular season, round 2 · Fri, 19 Oct 2012

Armani Olimpia Milan at Cedevita Zagreb

83–71Final, away–home

Box score

Cedevita Zagreb

PlayerMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVPF+/-FG3PFT
Predrag Suput *278320021−134-90-10-0
Marques Green *252153020−71-40-20-0
Luka Babic *197311103−23-81-30-0
Luksa Andric *148300025+14-70-10-0
Marino Bazdaric *90110002−120-40-10-0
Bracey Wright3114220022−56-132-30-2
Mickael Gelabale3020801011−67-101-15-5
Miro Bilan206410104−43-50-00-1
Vlado Ilievski152010000−51-40-10-0
Goran Suton70210000−30-20-10-0
Jusuf Nurkic44000000−42-20-00-2
Team20071271452918−1231-684-145-10

Armani Olimpia Milan

PlayerMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVPF+/-FG3PFT
Keith Langford *3217240020+118-141-30-0
Antonis Fotsis *2913822012+155-73-50-0
Omar Cook *2815161022+85-75-70-0
Malik Hairston *276210002+42-60-12-2
Ioannis Bourousis *2311830133+42-60-27-8
Richard Hendrix176401013+83-30-00-1
Rok Stipcevic125310022+42-31-20-0
Gianluca Basile115100012+121-11-12-2
Alessandro Gentile105100111−32-20-01-1
Nicolo Melli100010122−30-10-10-0
David Chiotti1000000000-00-00-0
Team200833018431519+1230-5011-2212-14

* Starter. The team's +/- is its final margin. Scores read away–home.

Win probability

The home team's chance of winning at each point of the game, from the pre-game forecast at tip-off to the result at the final buzzer. Hover or tap the line to read a point.

100%50%0%Q1Q2Q3Q4

Home at the top. Vertical rules mark the quarters and any overtime. Model: WP v1, the in-game win-probability model, with its card and results on GitHub.

Biggest swings

  1. Q4 09:46Three-point make, Armani Olimpia Milan+13.1 pp for Armani Olimpia Milan59–53
  2. Q4 08:20Three-point make, Cedevita Zagreb+12.6 pp for Cedevita Zagreb64–59
  3. Q4 09:07Three-point make, Armani Olimpia Milan+11.0 pp for Armani Olimpia Milan62–53
  4. Q3 02:27Three-point make, Armani Olimpia Milan+10.5 pp for Armani Olimpia Milan54–49
  5. Q4 06:49Two-point make, Armani Olimpia Milan+10.4 pp for Armani Olimpia Milan68–61

Change in win chance at the scoring play, read at the same clock. Scores read away–home after the play. pp is percentage points.

Game control

PartCedevita ZagrebArmani Olimpia Milan
Dominance−0.15+0.15
Control13%33%
Drama2.062.06
Comeback100%63%
Crunch0.240.24

Dominance: the average lead in win chance, from −1 to +1. Control: the share of the game with a win chance above 60%. Drama: the total movement of the line. Comeback: 100% minus the lowest win chance. Crunch: the total movement in the last five minutes of regulation. The 60% and five-minute values are display conventions.

Scoring runs

A scoring run is a stretch of points by one team that the other team does not interrupt. The top three runs of each team, by points, are below.

Cedevita Zagreb

  1. +11 Q2 09:13 to Q2 06:20 22–16 to 22–27
  2. +6 Q1 04:37 to Q1 02:56 14–8 to 14–14
  3. +6 Q3 04:16 to Q3 03:09 49–43 to 49–49

Armani Olimpia Milan

  1. +8 Q2 06:03 to Q2 05:22 22–27 to 30–27
  2. +7 Q3 06:01 to Q3 05:04 40–41 to 47–41
  3. +7 Q4 03:08 to Q4 02:14 73–65 to 80–65