6.75

2012-13 EuroLeague · Regular season, round 1 · Fri, 12 Oct 2012

Panathinaikos AKTOR Athens at Real Madrid

78–85Final, away–home

Box score

Real Madrid

PlayerMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVPF+/-FG3PFT
Rudy Fernandez *3123413113+118-153-84-5
Nikola Mirotic *3118801134+114-90-110-12
Sergio Llull *3015540032+155-102-43-5
Marcus Slaughter *248603013+203-30-02-2
Carlos Suarez *120011021+50-20-20-0
Felipe Reyes194610022−101-30-12-3
Jaycee Carroll167100010−33-60-21-2
Sergio Rodriguez144020002−42-50-10-0
Dontaye Draper124025102+51-50-22-2
Mirza Begic62000033−71-10-00-0
Martynas Pocius50000000−80-20-20-0
Team2008530111331622+728-615-2324-31

Panathinaikos AKTOR Athens

PlayerMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVPF+/-FG3PFT
Dimitris Diamantidis *3713261043−134-83-72-2
Roko Ukic *306111003−153-80-10-0
Andy Panko *2810440023−215-110-40-0
Jonas Maciulis *166102024+42-30-12-2
Hilton Armstrong *60100033−90-10-00-0
Michael Bramos288210013−33-62-50-0
Kostas Tsartsaris2310620004+64-72-30-0
Sofoklis Schortsanitis1923110064+49-90-05-7
Derwin Kitchen102201032+60-00-02-2
Gaios Skordilis20100010+60-20-00-0
Team200782115502229−730-557-2111-13

* Starter. The team's +/- is its final margin. Scores read away–home.

Win probability

The home team's chance of winning at each point of the game, from the pre-game forecast at tip-off to the result at the final buzzer. Hover or tap the line to read a point.

100%50%0%Q1Q2Q3Q4

Home at the top. Vertical rules mark the quarters and any overtime. Model: WP v1, the in-game win-probability model, with its card and results on GitHub.

Biggest swings

  1. Q4 03:49Two-point make, Real Madrid+13.3 pp for Real Madrid71–75
  2. Q4 05:46Two-point make, Real Madrid+12.4 pp for Real Madrid67–70
  3. Q3 00:59Three-point make, Panathinaikos AKTOR Athens+12.0 pp for Panathinaikos AKTOR Athens58–57
  4. Q4 09:01Three-point make, Panathinaikos AKTOR Athens+11.7 pp for Panathinaikos AKTOR Athens65–61
  5. Q4 05:59Two-point make, Panathinaikos AKTOR Athens+11.7 pp for Panathinaikos AKTOR Athens67–68

Change in win chance at the scoring play, read at the same clock. Scores read away–home after the play. pp is percentage points.

Game control

PartReal MadridPanathinaikos AKTOR Athens
Dominance+0.22−0.22
Control50%8%
Drama2.372.37
Comeback69%100%
Crunch0.870.87

Dominance: the average lead in win chance, from −1 to +1. Control: the share of the game with a win chance above 60%. Drama: the total movement of the line. Comeback: 100% minus the lowest win chance. Crunch: the total movement in the last five minutes of regulation. The 60% and five-minute values are display conventions.

Scoring runs

A scoring run is a stretch of points by one team that the other team does not interrupt. The top three runs of each team, by points, are below.

Real Madrid

  1. +11 Q3 08:27 to Q3 04:10 46–37 to 46–48
  2. +8 Q1 09:52 to Q1 08:10 0–0 to 0–8
  3. +7 Q4 08:33 to Q4 06:17 65–61 to 65–68

Panathinaikos AKTOR Athens

  1. +12 Q1 03:29 to Q1 01:51 6–19 to 18–19
  2. +7 Q2 00:48 to Q2 00:10 37–35 to 44–35
  3. +5 Q2 02:39 to Q2 02:07 32–31 to 37–31