2012-13 EuroLeague · Top 16 · Thu, 7 Mar 2013
Real Madrid at Zalgiris Kaunas
105–104Final, away–home
Box score
Zalgiris Kaunas
| Player | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TOV | PF | +/- | FG | 3P | FT |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oliver Lafayette * | 31 | 13 | 3 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 2 | −3 | 4-11 | 3-7 | 2-2 |
| Marko Popovic * | 28 | 8 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | +8 | 3-9 | 2-4 | 0-2 |
| Tremmell Darden * | 25 | 20 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | −4 | 8-9 | 2-2 | 2-4 |
| Darjus Lavrinovic * | 24 | 7 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 5 | +5 | 2-7 | 1-4 | 2-2 |
| Mario Delas * | 20 | 7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | −4 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 4-4 |
| Ksistof Lavrinovic | 25 | 14 | 5 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4-7 | 0-2 | 6-6 |
| Mindaugas Kuzminskas | 20 | 16 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | +5 | 7-7 | 2-2 | 0-0 |
| Robertas Javtokas | 19 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | −3 | 2-3 | 1-1 | 1-1 |
| Donald McGrath | 16 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | −1 | 3-4 | 2-3 | 1-2 |
| Rimantas Kaukenas | 16 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | −6 | 2-4 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| Vytenis Lipkevicius | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Team | 225 | 104 | 29 | 18 | 6 | 3 | 14 | 25 | −1 | 36-63 | 14-27 | 18-23 |
Real Madrid
| Player | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TOV | PF | +/- | FG | 3P | FT |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sergio Llull * | 33 | 14 | 3 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 4 | +3 | 5-8 | 4-6 | 0-1 |
| Rudy Fernandez * | 29 | 11 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +5 | 4-9 | 3-6 | 0-0 |
| Sergio Rodriguez * | 23 | 10 | 2 | 8 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | +1 | 2-8 | 1-5 | 5-6 |
| Marcus Slaughter * | 21 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | +8 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 1-2 |
| Mirza Begic * | 15 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | −5 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-2 |
| Nikola Mirotic | 36 | 31 | 11 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 3 | +10 | 5-15 | 3-9 | 18-18 |
| Jaycee Carroll | 24 | 21 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | +14 | 8-10 | 5-7 | 0-0 |
| Felipe Reyes | 19 | 4 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 4 | −13 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 2-4 |
| Dontaye Draper | 16 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −9 | 2-5 | 0-2 | 0-0 |
| Carlos Suarez | 11 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −9 | 1-4 | 0-2 | 1-2 |
| Team | 225 | 105 | 33 | 20 | 8 | 3 | 12 | 24 | +1 | 31-67 | 16-37 | 27-35 |
* Starter. The team's +/- is its final margin. Scores read away–home.
Win probability
The home team's chance of winning at each point of the game, from the pre-game forecast at tip-off to the result at the final buzzer. Hover or tap the line to read a point.
Home at the top. Vertical rules mark the quarters and any overtime. Model: WP v1, the in-game win-probability model, with its card and results on GitHub.
Biggest swings
- OT1 01:43Three-point make, Real Madrid+34.0 pp for Real Madrid96–94
- OT1 01:59Three-point make, Zalgiris Kaunas+28.7 pp for Zalgiris Kaunas93–94
- OT1 03:44Three-point make, Zalgiris Kaunas+20.3 pp for Zalgiris Kaunas89–89
- Q4 04:04Three-point make, Real Madrid+19.7 pp for Real Madrid70–72
- OT1 04:44Three-point make, Real Madrid+18.6 pp for Real Madrid87–84
Change in win chance at the scoring play, read at the same clock. Scores read away–home after the play. pp is percentage points.
Game control
| Part | Zalgiris Kaunas | Real Madrid |
|---|---|---|
| Dominance | +0.15 | −0.15 |
| Control | 50% | 15% |
| Drama | 4.24 | 4.24 |
| Comeback | 83% | 98% |
| Crunch | 2.01 | 2.01 |
Dominance: the average lead in win chance, from −1 to +1. Control: the share of the game with a win chance above 60%. Drama: the total movement of the line. Comeback: 100% minus the lowest win chance. Crunch: the total movement in the last five minutes of regulation. The 60% and five-minute values are display conventions.
Scoring runs
A scoring run is a stretch of points by one team that the other team does not interrupt. The top three runs of each team, by points, are below.
Zalgiris Kaunas
- +10 Q1 03:51 to Q1 01:30 14–17 to 14–27
- +9 Q2 06:54 to Q2 05:09 26–31 to 26–40
- +7 Q1 07:50 to Q1 06:17 6–5 to 6–12
Real Madrid
- +8 Q3 06:17 to Q3 03:34 44–54 to 52–54
- +8 Q3 02:10 to Q3 00:59 52–56 to 60–56
- +8 OT1 01:43 to OT1 00:25 93–94 to 101–94