6.75

2012-13 EuroLeague · Top 16 · Thu, 28 Feb 2013

Brose Bamberg at Real Madrid

73–76Final, away–home

Box score

Real Madrid

PlayerMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVPF+/-FG3PFT
Rudy Fernandez *3191143033+113-101-42-2
Sergio Rodriguez *16301100201-61-20-0
Mirza Begic *168100001−23-60-02-2
Rafael Hettsheimeir *13830101202-21-13-4
Carlos Suarez *77100000+23-40-01-1
Jaycee Carroll2311111001+25-90-31-1
Sergio Llull227101122−12-70-33-4
Dontaye Draper21621000101-41-13-4
Nikola Mirotic209600211−74-70-11-1
Felipe Reyes172200112+91-30-00-0
Marcus Slaughter146202002+13-50-00-0
Team2007630794817+328-634-1516-19

Brose Bamberg

PlayerMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVPF+/-FG3PFT
Casey Jacobsen *355530024−41-61-32-2
Anton Gavel *311515013206-133-70-0
Jeremiah Massey *2911203132−94-112-51-3
Maik Zirbes *2514600203−67-100-00-0
Karsten Tadda *225330022−31-41-22-2
Matt Walsh3210631043−23-122-72-2
Sharrod Ford159200205+33-62-51-2
Philipp Neumann60200102+20-00-00-0
Andrew James Ogilvy54211010+42-20-00-0
Team200732915571523−327-6411-298-11

* Starter. The team's +/- is its final margin. Scores read away–home.

Win probability

The home team's chance of winning at each point of the game, from the pre-game forecast at tip-off to the result at the final buzzer. Hover or tap the line to read a point.

100%50%0%Q1Q2Q3Q4

Home at the top. Vertical rules mark the quarters and any overtime. Model: WP v1, the in-game win-probability model, with its card and results on GitHub.

Biggest swings

  1. Q4 08:50Three-point make, Brose Bamberg+13.1 pp for Brose Bamberg64–57
  2. Q4 00:08Three-point make, Real Madrid+11.2 pp for Real Madrid73–76
  3. Q4 00:08Two-point make, Brose Bamberg+9.6 pp for Brose Bamberg73–73
  4. Q4 08:24Two-point make, Real Madrid+8.3 pp for Real Madrid64–61
  5. Q4 08:24Two-point make, Real Madrid+8.2 pp for Real Madrid64–59

Change in win chance at the scoring play, read at the same clock. Scores read away–home after the play. pp is percentage points.

Game control

PartReal MadridBrose Bamberg
Dominance+0.72−0.72
Control100%0%
Drama1.061.06
Comeback27%99%
Crunch0.480.48

Dominance: the average lead in win chance, from −1 to +1. Control: the share of the game with a win chance above 60%. Drama: the total movement of the line. Comeback: 100% minus the lowest win chance. Crunch: the total movement in the last five minutes of regulation. The 60% and five-minute values are display conventions.

Scoring runs

A scoring run is a stretch of points by one team that the other team does not interrupt. The top three runs of each team, by points, are below.

Real Madrid

  1. +13 Q4 08:24 to Q4 04:03 64–57 to 64–70
  2. +11 Q2 01:29 to Q3 07:43 41–33 to 41–44
  3. +5 Q1 08:26 to Q1 08:05 5–3 to 5–8

Brose Bamberg

  1. +6 Q2 06:24 to Q2 05:14 29–27 to 35–27
  2. +6 Q3 01:00 to Q4 08:50 58–57 to 64–57
  3. +5 Q1 04:45 to Q1 04:27 10–13 to 15–13