6.75

2012-13 EuroLeague · Top 16 · Fri, 1 Mar 2013

ALBA Berlin at CSKA Moscow

65–80Final, away–home

Box score

CSKA Moscow

PlayerMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVPF+/-FG3PFT
Nenad Krstic *2920440101+148-120-04-4
Milos Teodosic *279431031+12-61-34-4
Sasha Kaun *267601003+22-30-03-6
Sonny Weems *2010610022+104-102-20-0
Aleksey Zozulin *100010002−10-20-10-0
Vladimir Micov2310320021+154-102-40-0
Aaron Jackson215350000+102-61-40-0
Andrey Vorontsevich2010622000+174-71-11-1
Theodoros Papaloukas167041021+132-21-12-2
Dmitry Sokolov62000010−31-10-00-0
Anton Ponkrashov30100002−30-10-00-0
Team200803322511013+1529-608-1614-17

ALBA Berlin

PlayerMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVPF+/-FG3PFT
Nihad Djedovic *2710330001−114-120-32-3
Jekel Foster *252100013−31-60-20-0
Zach Morley *2110210012−55-60-00-0
Albert Miralles *190302003−130-30-00-0
Ali Traore *177620122−13-50-01-1
Derrick Byars279600003−213-53-40-0
Deon Thompson2210201010−15-110-00-0
Dashaun Wood2011351012−55-101-20-0
Yassin Idbihi174301022−152-60-00-0
Sven Schultze4200000001-10-00-0
Team20065291151818−1529-654-113-4

* Starter. The team's +/- is its final margin. Scores read away–home.

Win probability

The home team's chance of winning at each point of the game, from the pre-game forecast at tip-off to the result at the final buzzer. Hover or tap the line to read a point.

100%50%0%Q1Q2Q3Q4

Home at the top. Vertical rules mark the quarters and any overtime. Model: WP v1, the in-game win-probability model, with its card and results on GitHub.

Biggest swings

  1. Q1 00:23Three-point make, CSKA Moscow+3.8 pp for CSKA Moscow16–18
  2. Q1 08:22Two-point make, ALBA Berlin+3.4 pp for ALBA Berlin4–3
  3. Q1 07:09Free throw, CSKA Moscow+3.4 pp for CSKA Moscow7–7
  4. Q1 05:49Two-point make, ALBA Berlin+3.4 pp for ALBA Berlin11–10
  5. Q1 01:41Two-point make, CSKA Moscow+3.4 pp for CSKA Moscow15–15

Change in win chance at the scoring play, read at the same clock. Scores read away–home after the play. pp is percentage points.

Game control

PartCSKA MoscowALBA Berlin
Dominance+0.88−0.88
Control100%0%
Drama0.550.55
Comeback19%100%
Crunch0.010.01

Dominance: the average lead in win chance, from −1 to +1. Control: the share of the game with a win chance above 60%. Drama: the total movement of the line. Comeback: 100% minus the lowest win chance. Crunch: the total movement in the last five minutes of regulation. The 60% and five-minute values are display conventions.

Scoring runs

A scoring run is a stretch of points by one team that the other team does not interrupt. The top three runs of each team, by points, are below.

CSKA Moscow

  1. +17 Q1 00:23 to Q2 07:46 16–15 to 16–32
  2. +10 Q4 05:33 to Q4 00:13 65–70 to 65–80
  3. +7 Q1 07:32 to Q1 06:38 7–3 to 7–10

ALBA Berlin

  1. +8 Q2 00:21 to Q3 09:05 29–44 to 37–44
  2. +7 Q1 08:57 to Q1 07:53 0–3 to 7–3
  3. +6 Q1 06:15 to Q1 05:16 7–10 to 13–10