6.75

2012-13 EuroLeague · Top 16 · Fri, 22 Feb 2013

ALBA Berlin at Real Madrid

72–77Final, away–home

Box score

Real Madrid

PlayerMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVPF+/-FG3PFT
Nikola Mirotic *2812710121−34-52-32-2
Sergio Llull *282241031+80-60-32-4
Rudy Fernandez *2414211010+53-120-58-9
Carlos Suarez *18631100203-40-10-0
Mirza Begic *94110013+61-10-02-2
Jaycee Carroll2216211002+54-84-54-4
Sergio Rodriguez202160022+21-50-20-0
Felipe Reyes1711311103+93-60-15-5
Rafael Hettsheimeir147710004+53-50-01-1
Marcus Slaughter121200011−70-00-01-2
Martynas Pocius82010000−51-40-20-0
Team200773018521019+523-566-2225-29

ALBA Berlin

PlayerMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVPF+/-FG3PFT
Deon Thompson *2714700023−26-130-02-2
Dashaun Wood *2411211021−44-102-61-2
Zach Morley *24082001400-40-00-0
Yassin Idbihi *2411900013−74-70-03-5
Jekel Foster *227211014+73-50-21-1
Albert Miralles189400023−34-50-01-2
Nihad Djedovic174330043−72-50-00-0
Derrick Byars175410022−62-41-10-2
Heiko Schaffartzik168121012−33-62-50-0
Sven Schultze11300000201-51-50-0
Team200724010301627−529-646-198-14

* Starter. The team's +/- is its final margin. Scores read away–home.

Win probability

The home team's chance of winning at each point of the game, from the pre-game forecast at tip-off to the result at the final buzzer. Hover or tap the line to read a point.

100%50%0%Q1Q2Q3Q4

Home at the top. Vertical rules mark the quarters and any overtime. Model: WP v1, the in-game win-probability model, with its card and results on GitHub.

Biggest swings

  1. Q4 09:19Three-point make, ALBA Berlin+10.7 pp for ALBA Berlin53–51
  2. Q3 04:16Three-point make, ALBA Berlin+8.6 pp for ALBA Berlin42–40
  3. Q4 09:00Three-point make, Real Madrid+7.5 pp for Real Madrid53–56
  4. Q3 03:44Three-point make, ALBA Berlin+7.3 pp for ALBA Berlin45–42
  5. Q4 09:29Two-point make, Real Madrid+7.3 pp for Real Madrid50–50

Change in win chance at the scoring play, read at the same clock. Scores read away–home after the play. pp is percentage points.

Game control

PartReal MadridALBA Berlin
Dominance+0.78−0.78
Control100%0%
Drama1.041.04
Comeback24%100%
Crunch0.100.10

Dominance: the average lead in win chance, from −1 to +1. Control: the share of the game with a win chance above 60%. Drama: the total movement of the line. Comeback: 100% minus the lowest win chance. Crunch: the total movement in the last five minutes of regulation. The 60% and five-minute values are display conventions.

Scoring runs

A scoring run is a stretch of points by one team that the other team does not interrupt. The top three runs of each team, by points, are below.

Real Madrid

  1. +8 Q4 08:25 to Q4 07:22 53–51 to 53–59
  2. +7 Q4 06:25 to Q4 05:29 56–59 to 56–66
  3. +5 Q1 09:12 to Q1 07:29 0–0 to 0–5

ALBA Berlin

  1. +14 Q2 02:30 to Q3 07:34 23–34 to 37–34
  2. +7 Q4 02:28 to Q4 00:35 65–75 to 72–75
  3. +4 Q1 06:00 to Q1 04:25 5–12 to 9–12