6.75

2012-13 EuroLeague · Top 16 · Thu, 14 Feb 2013

Real Madrid at Anadolu Efes Istanbul

72–74Final, away–home

Box score

Anadolu Efes Istanbul

PlayerMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVPF+/-FG3PFT
Jordan Farmar *3210410122−44-130-42-2
Jamon-Alfred Lucas *3216451002+86-102-22-2
Dusko Savanovic *2713802012−74-72-43-4
Joshua Shipp *238600102+13-62-30-0
Semih Erden *216120003−23-40-00-1
Sasha Vujacic209511002−23-91-42-2
Stanko Barac197300102+43-50-01-2
Kerem Gonlum132320102+90-50-02-2
Kerem Tunceri123210013+31-50-21-1
Team20074361244420+227-647-1913-16

Real Madrid

PlayerMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVPF+/-FG3PFT
Rudy Fernandez *321476001105-111-43-3
Sergio Llull *226150011−53-80-50-1
Carlos Suarez *152300011−31-30-00-0
Mirza Begic *1110200004+62-50-06-6
Rafael Hettsheimeir *102200111−81-40-20-0
Nikola Mirotic285730104+22-51-20-0
Jaycee Carroll2411301000+34-92-61-2
Sergio Rodriguez1710110003−54-92-50-0
Felipe Reyes1711300023+44-50-03-4
Marcus Slaughter151300103−80-40-01-2
Dontaye Draper100301000+40-20-10-0
Team20072351523621−226-656-2514-18

* Starter. The team's +/- is its final margin. Scores read away–home.

Win probability

The home team's chance of winning at each point of the game, from the pre-game forecast at tip-off to the result at the final buzzer. Hover or tap the line to read a point.

100%50%0%Q1Q2Q3Q4

Home at the top. Vertical rules mark the quarters and any overtime. Model: WP v1, the in-game win-probability model, with its card and results on GitHub.

Biggest swings

  1. Q4 00:14Three-point make, Real Madrid+35.4 pp for Real Madrid72–73
  2. Q4 04:32Three-point make, Anadolu Efes Istanbul+17.2 pp for Anadolu Efes Istanbul62–69
  3. Q4 02:11Two-point make, Real Madrid+14.9 pp for Real Madrid68–71
  4. Q4 00:11Free throw, Anadolu Efes Istanbul+13.9 pp for Anadolu Efes Istanbul72–74
  5. Q4 01:32Free throw, Real Madrid+12.2 pp for Real Madrid69–71

Change in win chance at the scoring play, read at the same clock. Scores read away–home after the play. pp is percentage points.

Game control

PartAnadolu Efes IstanbulReal Madrid
Dominance+0.25−0.25
Control60%3%
Drama2.772.77
Comeback64%91%
Crunch1.431.43

Dominance: the average lead in win chance, from −1 to +1. Control: the share of the game with a win chance above 60%. Drama: the total movement of the line. Comeback: 100% minus the lowest win chance. Crunch: the total movement in the last five minutes of regulation. The 60% and five-minute values are display conventions.

Scoring runs

A scoring run is a stretch of points by one team that the other team does not interrupt. The top three runs of each team, by points, are below.

Anadolu Efes Istanbul

  1. +11 Q1 00:41 to Q2 05:49 19–21 to 19–32
  2. +7 Q1 08:21 to Q1 07:22 5–5 to 5–12
  3. +7 Q4 06:45 to Q4 05:22 60–59 to 60–66

Real Madrid

  1. +6 Q2 03:46 to Q2 02:48 23–37 to 29–37
  2. +6 Q3 08:56 to Q3 06:24 36–49 to 42–49
  3. +6 Q4 08:46 to Q4 07:01 54–59 to 60–59