2012-13 EuroLeague · Top 16 · Thu, 31 Jan 2013
CSKA Moscow at Real Madrid
78–86Final, away–home
Box score
Real Madrid
| Player | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TOV | PF | +/- | FG | 3P | FT |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rudy Fernandez * | 34 | 20 | 13 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | +4 | 7-13 | 2-7 | 4-6 |
| Sergio Llull * | 33 | 10 | 3 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 1 | +9 | 3-12 | 2-7 | 2-2 |
| Nikola Mirotic * | 25 | 10 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 5 | −4 | 4-7 | 0-1 | 2-2 |
| Rafael Hettsheimeir * | 16 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | −6 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 1-2 |
| Carlos Suarez * | 15 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | −6 | 1-6 | 1-5 | 0-0 |
| Jaycee Carroll | 28 | 31 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3 | +17 | 9-14 | 6-8 | 7-7 |
| Felipe Reyes | 22 | 4 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | +10 | 2-6 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| Marcus Slaughter | 21 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | +14 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Sergio Rodriguez | 17 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | +5 | 1-9 | 1-6 | 0-0 |
| Dontaye Draper | 7 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| Mirza Begic | 6 | 0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | −1 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 0-2 |
| Team | 225 | 86 | 45 | 15 | 9 | 2 | 9 | 25 | +8 | 29-79 | 12-36 | 16-21 |
CSKA Moscow
| Player | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TOV | PF | +/- | FG | 3P | FT |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Milos Teodosic * | 36 | 13 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 3 | −10 | 4-11 | 0-6 | 5-5 |
| Sonny Weems * | 31 | 10 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | −14 | 3-10 | 0-1 | 4-4 |
| Sasha Kaun * | 30 | 11 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | +2 | 4-8 | 0-0 | 3-6 |
| Victor Khryapa * | 25 | 4 | 9 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 4 | −7 | 1-7 | 0-3 | 2-2 |
| Aleksey Zozulin * | 9 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | +7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Vladimir Micov | 29 | 12 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | −9 | 5-7 | 1-3 | 1-2 |
| Nenad Krstic | 22 | 11 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | −5 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 5-7 |
| Aaron Jackson | 18 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | −3 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 2-2 |
| Zoran Erceg | 11 | 13 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | −3 | 4-7 | 3-6 | 2-2 |
| Anton Ponkrashov | 11 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | +5 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| Dionte Christmas | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | −3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Team | 225 | 78 | 38 | 16 | 6 | 5 | 15 | 21 | −8 | 25-59 | 4-20 | 24-30 |
* Starter. The team's +/- is its final margin. Scores read away–home.
Win probability
The home team's chance of winning at each point of the game, from the pre-game forecast at tip-off to the result at the final buzzer. Hover or tap the line to read a point.
Home at the top. Vertical rules mark the quarters and any overtime. Model: WP v1, the in-game win-probability model, with its card and results on GitHub.
Biggest swings
- OT1 02:01Three-point make, Real Madrid+31.3 pp for Real Madrid74–76
- Q4 00:58Two-point make, CSKA Moscow+28.2 pp for CSKA Moscow66–65
- Q4 01:56Two-point make, Real Madrid+20.5 pp for Real Madrid61–63
- OT1 01:39Two-point make, CSKA Moscow+20.5 pp for CSKA Moscow76–76
- Q4 01:33Two-point make, Real Madrid+19.0 pp for Real Madrid62–65
Change in win chance at the scoring play, read at the same clock. Scores read away–home after the play. pp is percentage points.
Game control
| Part | Real Madrid | CSKA Moscow |
|---|---|---|
| Dominance | +0.26 | −0.26 |
| Control | 57% | 0% |
| Drama | 2.84 | 2.84 |
| Comeback | 58% | 100% |
| Crunch | 1.85 | 1.85 |
Dominance: the average lead in win chance, from −1 to +1. Control: the share of the game with a win chance above 60%. Drama: the total movement of the line. Comeback: 100% minus the lowest win chance. Crunch: the total movement in the last five minutes of regulation. The 60% and five-minute values are display conventions.
Scoring runs
A scoring run is a stretch of points by one team that the other team does not interrupt. The top three runs of each team, by points, are below.
Real Madrid
- +8 Q2 06:25 to Q2 02:47 24–22 to 24–30
- +8 Q4 05:59 to Q4 04:42 54–51 to 54–59
- +7 Q3 06:06 to Q3 04:59 34–34 to 34–41
CSKA Moscow
- +8 Q3 04:42 to Q3 02:51 34–41 to 42–41
- +7 Q4 08:16 to Q4 06:29 47–51 to 54–51
- +6 Q1 09:43 to Q1 08:14 0–0 to 6–0