6.75

2012-13 EuroLeague · Top 16 · Fri, 25 Jan 2013

Real Madrid at Panathinaikos AKTOR Athens

58–54Final, away–home

Box score

Panathinaikos AKTOR Athens

PlayerMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVPF+/-FG3PFT
Michael Bramos *2611301004−114-93-60-0
Roko Ukic *248511021+94-80-20-1
Kostas Tsartsaris *238700013+123-101-51-2
Stephane Lasme *202400245−81-20-00-0
Jonas Maciulis *185000023+22-41-30-0
Dimitris Diamantidis313764131−41-60-51-2
James Gist185700123−92-61-30-0
Jason Kapono17421000100-40-24-4
Sofoklis Schortsanitis128130001−13-70-02-3
Marcus Banks100000000−100-10-10-0
Vasilis Xanthopoulos0000000000-00-00-0
Gaios Skordilis0000000000-00-00-0
Team200543611641422−420-576-278-12

Real Madrid

PlayerMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVPF+/-FG3PFT
Rudy Fernandez *278421021+32-51-43-4
Nikola Mirotic *233402022−31-50-21-2
Dontaye Draper *224502003+42-60-10-0
Sergio Llull *227111022−72-71-52-2
Rafael Hettsheimeir *1711500012−63-41-14-4
Sergio Rodriguez226030021+122-102-90-0
Felipe Reyes1713201102+74-61-24-5
Mirza Begic176500303+153-30-00-0
Carlos Suarez15002001100-30-10-0
Jaycee Carroll130500011+10-50-30-0
Marcus Slaughter70000002−60-10-00-0
Team20058318741120+419-556-2814-17

* Starter. The team's +/- is its final margin. Scores read away–home.

Win probability

The home team's chance of winning at each point of the game, from the pre-game forecast at tip-off to the result at the final buzzer. Hover or tap the line to read a point.

100%50%0%Q1Q2Q3Q4

Home at the top. Vertical rules mark the quarters and any overtime. Model: WP v1, the in-game win-probability model, with its card and results on GitHub.

Biggest swings

  1. Q4 03:28Three-point make, Real Madrid+23.8 pp for Real Madrid55–54
  2. Q4 02:43Two-point make, Real Madrid+17.7 pp for Real Madrid57–54
  3. Q4 04:55Two-point make, Real Madrid+12.6 pp for Real Madrid52–54
  4. Q4 06:33Three-point make, Panathinaikos AKTOR Athens+11.1 pp for Panathinaikos AKTOR Athens46–54
  5. Q4 05:36Two-point make, Real Madrid+7.9 pp for Real Madrid50–54

Change in win chance at the scoring play, read at the same clock. Scores read away–home after the play. pp is percentage points.

Game control

PartPanathinaikos AKTOR AthensReal Madrid
Dominance+0.37−0.37
Control85%8%
Drama2.122.12
Comeback93%84%
Crunch0.610.61

Dominance: the average lead in win chance, from −1 to +1. Control: the share of the game with a win chance above 60%. Drama: the total movement of the line. Comeback: 100% minus the lowest win chance. Crunch: the total movement in the last five minutes of regulation. The 60% and five-minute values are display conventions.

Scoring runs

A scoring run is a stretch of points by one team that the other team does not interrupt. The top three runs of each team, by points, are below.

Panathinaikos AKTOR Athens

  1. +7 Q1 04:30 to Q1 00:55 9–11 to 9–18
  2. +5 Q1 06:41 to Q1 06:15 6–6 to 6–11
  3. +5 Q2 04:26 to Q2 03:12 19–26 to 19–31

Real Madrid

  1. +12 Q4 06:17 to Q4 00:11 46–54 to 58–54
  2. +8 Q2 00:36 to Q3 08:36 23–37 to 31–37
  3. +6 Q2 08:12 to Q2 07:35 11–22 to 17–22