6.75

2012-13 EuroLeague · Top 16 · Thu, 17 Jan 2013

Real Madrid at Unicaja Malaga

72–64Final, away–home

Box score

Unicaja Malaga

PlayerMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVPF+/-FG3PFT
Andy Panko *3010111002−113-81-43-4
Krunoslav Simon *3016421031−85-104-62-2
Earl Calloway *285331003−32-40-11-2
Luka Zoric *2210210202+15-70-00-2
Zoran Dragic *110401023−20-20-00-0
Sergi Vidal202401012−70-20-22-2
Txemi Urtasun193121003+11-31-30-0
Fran Vazquez1812200102−93-80-06-6
Marcus Williams124131010−52-60-20-0
Augusto Cesar Lima102200001+31-50-00-0
Kosta Perovic1000000000-10-00-0
Team20064241273719−822-566-1814-18

Real Madrid

PlayerMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVPF+/-FG3PFT
Rudy Fernandez *2515320022−26-122-71-1
Sergio Llull *248251011−43-92-50-0
Nikola Mirotic *24450201101-61-21-2
Carlos Suarez *18641000102-41-31-2
Rafael Hettsheimeir *100310001+10-30-00-0
Felipe Reyes214400213+112-50-10-0
Jaycee Carroll209400002+63-61-22-2
Marcus Slaughter195800235+112-20-01-2
Sergio Rodriguez1814130023+65-102-52-2
Dontaye Draper123320032+161-31-20-0
Mirza Begic50100010−70-10-00-0
Martynas Pocius34000001+22-20-00-0
Team200723814341422+827-6310-278-11

* Starter. The team's +/- is its final margin. Scores read away–home.

Win probability

The home team's chance of winning at each point of the game, from the pre-game forecast at tip-off to the result at the final buzzer. Hover or tap the line to read a point.

100%50%0%Q1Q2Q3Q4

Home at the top. Vertical rules mark the quarters and any overtime. Model: WP v1, the in-game win-probability model, with its card and results on GitHub.

Biggest swings

  1. Q4 06:13Three-point make, Real Madrid+15.8 pp for Real Madrid56–52
  2. Q4 02:48Three-point make, Real Madrid+13.6 pp for Real Madrid64–58
  3. Q4 08:07Three-point make, Real Madrid+13.5 pp for Real Madrid49–50
  4. Q4 09:35Three-point make, Real Madrid+12.4 pp for Real Madrid46–50
  5. Q4 06:00Two-point make, Real Madrid+10.4 pp for Real Madrid58–54

Change in win chance at the scoring play, read at the same clock. Scores read away–home after the play. pp is percentage points.

Game control

PartUnicaja MalagaReal Madrid
Dominance−0.09+0.09
Control30%40%
Drama2.182.18
Comeback100%81%
Crunch0.610.61

Dominance: the average lead in win chance, from −1 to +1. Control: the share of the game with a win chance above 60%. Drama: the total movement of the line. Comeback: 100% minus the lowest win chance. Crunch: the total movement in the last five minutes of regulation. The 60% and five-minute values are display conventions.

Scoring runs

A scoring run is a stretch of points by one team that the other team does not interrupt. The top three runs of each team, by points, are below.

Unicaja Malaga

  1. +10 Q2 04:01 to Q2 02:19 25–24 to 25–34
  2. +6 Q2 08:53 to Q2 07:24 19–16 to 19–22
  3. +5 Q1 08:23 to Q1 07:08 6–0 to 6–5

Real Madrid

  1. +10 Q4 09:35 to Q4 06:46 43–50 to 53–50
  2. +8 Q3 04:22 to Q3 02:23 35–48 to 43–48
  3. +6 Q1 09:30 to Q1 08:52 0–0 to 6–0