6.75

2012-13 EuroLeague · Top 16 · Fri, 11 Jan 2013

Zalgiris Kaunas at Real Madrid

74–75Final, away–home

Box score

Real Madrid

PlayerMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVPF+/-FG3PFT
Rudy Fernandez *2710143021−84-81-41-1
Sergio Llull *2710541021−23-100-54-5
Nikola Mirotic *2317211121−36-81-24-4
Carlos Suarez *195500002−92-41-30-0
Mirza Begic *82201001−81-40-00-0
Marcus Slaughter242210413+41-20-00-0
Jaycee Carroll184400001+131-71-61-2
Felipe Reyes176800032+23-80-10-1
Sergio Rodriguez118110022+33-62-50-0
Dontaye Draper93001011+11-21-10-0
Rafael Hettsheimeir92210100+21-40-00-0
Martynas Pocius86101001+102-31-21-1
Team200753312861316+128-668-2911-14

Zalgiris Kaunas

PlayerMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVPF+/-FG3PFT
Tremmell Darden *256402000+83-50-00-0
Marko Popovic *2321032021+46-105-94-4
Paulius Jankunas *210311114+10-60-30-0
Jeff Foote *198300000+43-40-02-2
Ibrahim Jaaber *113000004+41-31-30-0
Ksistof Lavrinovic278631021+12-41-33-4
Oliver Lafayette2513420032−84-93-52-2
Rimantas Kaukenas2211211022−63-61-14-5
Mario Delas134000111−32-50-10-0
Mindaugas Kuzminskas60111013−30-00-00-0
Vytenis Lipkevicius40000011−70-20-10-0
Adas Juskevicius4010000100-10-00-0
Team200742411821320−124-5511-2615-17

* Starter. The team's +/- is its final margin. Scores read away–home.

Win probability

The home team's chance of winning at each point of the game, from the pre-game forecast at tip-off to the result at the final buzzer. Hover or tap the line to read a point.

100%50%0%Q1Q2Q3Q4

Home at the top. Vertical rules mark the quarters and any overtime. Model: WP v1, the in-game win-probability model, with its card and results on GitHub.

Biggest swings

  1. Q4 00:01Three-point make, Real Madrid+40.0 pp for Real Madrid74–75
  2. Q4 01:57Three-point make, Real Madrid+27.2 pp for Real Madrid68–70
  3. Q4 01:24Two-point make, Real Madrid+18.9 pp for Real Madrid70–72
  4. Q4 02:19Two-point make, Zalgiris Kaunas+17.8 pp for Zalgiris Kaunas68–67
  5. Q4 02:54Three-point make, Zalgiris Kaunas+15.9 pp for Zalgiris Kaunas66–67

Change in win chance at the scoring play, read at the same clock. Scores read away–home after the play. pp is percentage points.

Game control

PartReal MadridZalgiris Kaunas
Dominance+0.39−0.39
Control90%0%
Drama2.602.60
Comeback44%92%
Crunch2.522.52

Dominance: the average lead in win chance, from −1 to +1. Control: the share of the game with a win chance above 60%. Drama: the total movement of the line. Comeback: 100% minus the lowest win chance. Crunch: the total movement in the last five minutes of regulation. The 60% and five-minute values are display conventions.

Scoring runs

A scoring run is a stretch of points by one team that the other team does not interrupt. The top three runs of each team, by points, are below.

Real Madrid

  1. +7 Q1 01:27 to Q1 00:02 20–11 to 20–18
  2. +5 Q1 08:27 to Q1 07:53 7–0 to 7–5
  3. +5 Q2 07:01 to Q2 05:35 28–24 to 28–29

Zalgiris Kaunas

  1. +7 Q1 09:39 to Q1 08:55 0–0 to 7–0
  2. +6 Q1 07:50 to Q1 06:09 7–5 to 13–5
  3. +5 Q3 09:31 to Q3 07:04 40–40 to 45–40