6.75

2012-13 EuroLeague · Top 16 · Thu, 27 Dec 2012

Real Madrid at ALBA Berlin

77–63Final, away–home

Box score

ALBA Berlin

PlayerMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVPF+/-FG3PFT
Zach Morley *314420041−162-60-10-0
Dashaun Wood *279311013−132-61-34-4
Jekel Foster *2410220034−114-91-31-1
Yassin Idbihi *226210052−182-40-02-2
Deon Thompson *114200003−102-50-00-0
Derrick Byars278921013+42-52-42-2
Heiko Schaffartzik233010031−181-31-20-0
Albert Miralles2114401012+65-60-04-5
Sven Schultze135300012+62-30-11-1
Team20063299301921−1422-475-1414-15

Real Madrid

PlayerMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVPF+/-FG3PFT
Rudy Fernandez *3113743002+264-123-82-2
Sergio Llull *2715161001+95-113-82-2
Nikola Mirotic *2713600120+135-102-61-2
Carlos Suarez *212430002+81-20-10-0
Rafael Hettsheimeir *118100004+124-50-00-0
Marcus Slaughter251402012+20-10-01-4
Jaycee Carroll2313002011−65-111-52-2
Sergio Rodriguez188330023+54-70-10-0
Felipe Reyes144200034+32-50-00-0
Mirza Begic40000002−40-00-00-0
Team20177281681921+1430-649-298-12

* Starter. The team's +/- is its final margin. Scores read away–home.

Win probability

The home team's chance of winning at each point of the game, from the pre-game forecast at tip-off to the result at the final buzzer. Hover or tap the line to read a point.

100%50%0%Q1Q2Q3Q4

Home at the top. Vertical rules mark the quarters and any overtime. Model: WP v1, the in-game win-probability model, with its card and results on GitHub.

Biggest swings

  1. Q4 08:44Three-point make, ALBA Berlin+9.9 pp for ALBA Berlin60–57
  2. Q2 01:41Three-point make, Real Madrid+7.7 pp for Real Madrid36–34
  3. Q2 02:16Three-point make, ALBA Berlin+7.7 pp for ALBA Berlin33–34
  4. Q2 04:33Three-point make, ALBA Berlin+7.2 pp for ALBA Berlin30–29
  5. Q3 05:09Three-point make, Real Madrid+6.7 pp for Real Madrid55–45

Change in win chance at the scoring play, read at the same clock. Scores read away–home after the play. pp is percentage points.

Game control

PartALBA BerlinReal Madrid
Dominance−0.57+0.57
Control0%98%
Drama1.641.64
Comeback100%43%
Crunch0.110.11

Dominance: the average lead in win chance, from −1 to +1. Control: the share of the game with a win chance above 60%. Drama: the total movement of the line. Comeback: 100% minus the lowest win chance. Crunch: the total movement in the last five minutes of regulation. The 60% and five-minute values are display conventions.

Scoring runs

A scoring run is a stretch of points by one team that the other team does not interrupt. The top three runs of each team, by points, are below.

ALBA Berlin

  1. +8 Q3 01:43 to Q4 08:44 60–49 to 60–57
  2. +5 Q1 03:07 to Q1 02:29 18–8 to 18–13
  3. +5 Q1 00:31 to Q2 10:00 26–17 to 26–22

Real Madrid

  1. +9 Q2 01:41 to Q3 08:47 33–34 to 42–34
  2. +8 Q3 08:07 to Q3 07:04 42–37 to 50–37
  3. +7 Q1 09:40 to Q1 07:25 0–0 to 7–0