6.75

2012-13 EuroLeague · Top 16 · Fri, 28 Dec 2012

Zalgiris Kaunas at Panathinaikos AKTOR Athens

66–67Final, away–home

Box score

Panathinaikos AKTOR Athens

PlayerMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVPF+/-FG3PFT
Stephane Lasme *3414401002+95-90-04-6
Kostas Tsartsaris *280532013+110-10-10-0
Jonas Maciulis *287322134+32-61-42-2
Roko Ukic *222380113+21-50-00-0
Dimitris Diamantidis *43000110−11-11-10-0
Michael Bramos3215510002−15-105-90-0
Marcus Banks198230042−33-51-11-2
Jason Kapono1716020021−15-74-62-2
James Gist152311103−141-50-10-2
Team200672520641220+123-4912-239-14

Zalgiris Kaunas

PlayerMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVPF+/-FG3PFT
Paulius Jankunas *279611012+83-71-22-2
Tremmell Darden *2612211012−105-72-30-0
Ibrahim Jaaber *258432021−52-50-24-7
Marko Popovic *23631202102-62-50-0
Darjus Lavrinovic *214200011+32-60-20-0
Ksistof Lavrinovic2713500004−25-103-50-0
Rimantas Kaukenas170220021−10-40-10-0
Oliver Lafayette157112003+43-41-20-0
Mindaugas Kuzminskas157400101+92-61-22-2
Mario Delas50100002−110-20-00-0
Team2006630981918−124-5710-248-11

* Starter. The team's +/- is its final margin. Scores read away–home.

Win probability

The home team's chance of winning at each point of the game, from the pre-game forecast at tip-off to the result at the final buzzer. Hover or tap the line to read a point.

100%50%0%Q1Q2Q3Q4

Home at the top. Vertical rules mark the quarters and any overtime. Model: WP v1, the in-game win-probability model, with its card and results on GitHub.

Biggest swings

  1. Q4 02:44Three-point make, Panathinaikos AKTOR Athens+26.3 pp for Panathinaikos AKTOR Athens64–63
  2. Q4 03:46Three-point make, Zalgiris Kaunas+20.7 pp for Zalgiris Kaunas62–58
  3. Q4 04:35Three-point make, Zalgiris Kaunas+18.8 pp for Zalgiris Kaunas59–56
  4. Q4 02:28Two-point make, Zalgiris Kaunas+16.9 pp for Zalgiris Kaunas66–63
  5. Q4 02:11Two-point make, Panathinaikos AKTOR Athens+16.6 pp for Panathinaikos AKTOR Athens66–65

Change in win chance at the scoring play, read at the same clock. Scores read away–home after the play. pp is percentage points.

Game control

PartPanathinaikos AKTOR AthensZalgiris Kaunas
Dominance+0.54−0.54
Control93%3%
Drama1.901.90
Comeback66%91%
Crunch1.671.67

Dominance: the average lead in win chance, from −1 to +1. Control: the share of the game with a win chance above 60%. Drama: the total movement of the line. Comeback: 100% minus the lowest win chance. Crunch: the total movement in the last five minutes of regulation. The 60% and five-minute values are display conventions.

Scoring runs

A scoring run is a stretch of points by one team that the other team does not interrupt. The top three runs of each team, by points, are below.

Panathinaikos AKTOR Athens

  1. +13 Q2 06:56 to Q2 03:52 23–25 to 23–38
  2. +10 Q1 06:23 to Q1 03:40 7–3 to 7–13
  3. +4 Q1 01:42 to Q1 01:14 11–15 to 11–19

Zalgiris Kaunas

  1. +10 Q4 09:28 to Q4 04:35 49–56 to 59–56
  2. +7 Q3 07:42 to Q3 06:36 36–45 to 43–45
  3. +6 Q2 07:50 to Q2 07:16 17–25 to 23–25